Brasileirão
Corinthians vs Botafogo: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Corinthians v Botafogo in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Corinthians vs Botafogo prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Corinthians, with a 46% chance of winning. It expects 1.3 goals from Corinthians and 0.9 from Botafogo: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 59%). Both teams to score: yes at 45%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Model favourite: Corinthians (46%)
Large sample · 20/19 matches- 1 · Corinthians
- 46%
- X · Draw
- 30%
- 2 · Botafogo
- 24%
Expected goals
Corinthians 1.32 · Botafogo 0.88
Most likely scores
1-0 (14%) · 1-1 (14%) · 0-0 (12%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Corinthians or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% |
| Corinthians to score | 68% |
| Corinthians (draw no bet) | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 30% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% |
| Correct score 1-0 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Corinthians come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10.
- Botafogo come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8.
- At home, Corinthians have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Botafogo have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Corinthians's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Botafogo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, Corinthians are 17th and Botafogo 11th (37 and 42 points). Botafogo sit 6 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Corinthians
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
7-10
Goals
- D5 NovSão Paulo0-0Corinthians
- W31 OctCorinthians2-0Mirassol
- L24 OctVasco da Gama3-2Corinthians
- D20 OctCorinthians1-1Vitória
- L11 OctPalmeiras4-1Corinthians
- L8 OctInternacional2-1Corinthians
Botafogo
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
5-8
Goals
- W5 NovBotafogo1-0Atlético-MG
- L29 OctRemo2-1Botafogo
- L24 OctInternacional3-0Botafogo
- W17 OctBotafogo1-0Chapecoense
- D12 OctCoritiba1-1Botafogo
- L8 OctBotafogo1-2Vasco da Gama
Standings
Corinthians
17º
Pos.
37
Pts
34
P
Botafogo
11º
Pos.
42
Pts
34
P
Line-ups
Corinthians
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Botafogo
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.