Brasileirão
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Cruzeiro v Palmeiras in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Palmeiras have a slight edge (38% against 34%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.2 goals from Cruzeiro and 1.3 from Palmeiras: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Palmeiras (38%)
Large sample · 18/20 matches- 1 · Cruzeiro
- 34%
- X · Draw
- 28%
- 2 · Palmeiras
- 38%
Expected goals
Cruzeiro 1.24 · Palmeiras 1.34
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 0-1 (9%) · 1-0 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% |
| Palmeiras to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Palmeiras or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Cruzeiro to score | 66% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 40% |
| Palmeiras (draw no bet) | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Cruzeiro come in with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8.
- Palmeiras come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 2.
- At home, Cruzeiro have won 3 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Palmeiras have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
- In Cruzeiro's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Palmeiras's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
- In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Palmeiras 2nd (60 and 73 points). Palmeiras sit 1 place higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Cruzeiro
Last 6 matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
13-8
Goals
- W6 NovCruzeiro3-2Bahia
- W29 OctAtlético-MG0-1Cruzeiro
- W24 OctCruzeiro1-0Remo
- W18 OctGrêmio2-4Cruzeiro
- L13 OctRed Bull Bragantino4-2Cruzeiro
- W8 OctCruzeiro2-0São Paulo
Palmeiras
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
11-2
Goals
- W5 NovPalmeiras6-1Remo
- W1 NovPalmeiras1-0Vasco da Gama
- D28 OctSantos0-0Palmeiras
- W24 OctPalmeiras2-0Red Bull Bragantino
- L22 OctPalmeiras0-1Fluminense
- W18 OctAthletico-PR0-2Palmeiras
Standings
Cruzeiro
3º
Pos.
60
Pts
34
P
Palmeiras
2º
Pos.
73
Pts
34
P
Line-ups
Cruzeiro
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Palmeiras
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.