Friday 6 November · MBet statistical model

Football predictions for today

Win, draw and loss probabilities for 34 matches, with the favourite and the most likely selection for each one according to the MBet model.

Last 7 days · favourite right

56%145/261 matches

With a clear favourite (60%+)

82%27/33 matches

Calculated with the data available before each match. Updates daily.

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Every day we share our analysis of the biggest matches on Telegram for free, before kick-off.

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LaLiga

Premier League

Serie A

Bundesliga

Ligue 1

Segunda División

Primeira Liga

Eredivisie

Championship

Süper Lig

Argentine Primera División

Brasileirão

FA Cup

Belgian Pro League

Serie B

2. Bundesliga

Ligue 2

Eerste Divisie

Scottish Championship

How these predictions are calculated

The MBet model estimates each team's expected goals from its recent matches, separating home and away and giving more weight to recent games. From those goals it calculates the probability of each scoreline and, from there, each market: 1X2, double chance, over/under and both teams to score.

Each match shows the favourite, the probability of each outcome and the selection the model sees as most likely. Finished matches show whether the favourite was right, so you can check how the model performs.

The model does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an analysis tool, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly. 18+.