Brasileirão
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Mirassol v Atlético-MG in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Mirassol have a slight edge (36% against 35%) and the draw sits at 29%. It expects 1.2 goals from Mirassol and 1.2 from Atlético-MG: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Mirassol (36%)
Large sample · 19/20 matches- 1 · Mirassol
- 36%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Atlético-MG
- 35%
Expected goals
Mirassol 1.22 · Atlético-MG 1.21
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-1 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Mirassol to score | 66% |
| Atlético-MG to score | 65% |
| Mirassol or draw (1X) | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Mirassol come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6.
- Atlético-MG come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 9.
- At home, Mirassol have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Atlético-MG have not won any of their last 4 matches (0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Mirassol's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Atlético-MG's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
- In the table, Mirassol are 14th and Atlético-MG 7th (40 and 50 points). Atlético-MG sit 7 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Mirassol
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
6-6
Goals
- W3 NovChapecoense1-2Mirassol
- L31 OctCorinthians2-0Mirassol
- D24 OctMirassol1-1São Paulo
- W17 OctMirassol2-0Internacional
- L12 OctBahia1-0Mirassol
- D8 OctRed Bull Bragantino1-1Mirassol
Atlético-MG
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
3-9
Goals
- L5 NovBotafogo1-0Atlético-MG
- L1 NovGrêmio2-0Atlético-MG
- L29 OctAtlético-MG0-1Cruzeiro
- L27 OctFlamengo3-2Atlético-MG
- L22 OctMontevideo City Torque2-0Atlético-MG
- W17 OctAtlético-MG1-0Coritiba
Standings
Mirassol
14º
Pos.
40
Pts
34
P
Atlético-MG
7º
Pos.
50
Pts
34
P
Line-ups
Mirassol
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Atlético-MG
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.