Brasileirão
Flamengo vs Athletico-PR: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Flamengo v Athletico-PR in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Flamengo vs Athletico-PR prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Flamengo, with a 63% chance of winning. It expects 2.1 goals from Flamengo and 1.0 from Athletico-PR: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 58%). Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Model favourite: Flamengo (63%)
Large sample · 20/16 matches- 1 · Flamengo
- 63%
- X · Draw
- 21%
- 2 · Athletico-PR
- 16%
Expected goals
Flamengo 2.14 · Athletico-PR 0.99
Most likely scores
2-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%) · 1-1 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Flamengo or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Flamengo to score | 82% |
| Flamengo (draw no bet) | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Flamengo to win | 63% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% |
| Correct score 2-0 | 10% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Flamengo come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4.
- Athletico-PR come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11.
- At home, Flamengo have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Athletico-PR have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- In Flamengo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Athletico-PR's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Flamengo are 1st and Athletico-PR 5th (76 and 54 points). Flamengo sit 4 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Flamengo
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
13-4
Goals
- W4 NovFlamengo3-1Grêmio
- W30 OctVasco da Gama1-4Flamengo
- W27 OctFlamengo3-2Atlético-MG
- D23 OctFlamengo0-0Estudiantes de La Plata
- W18 OctBahia0-3Flamengo
- D16 OctEstudiantes de La Plata0-0Flamengo
Athletico-PR
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
8-11
Goals
- L4 NovAthletico-PR1-3Vasco da Gama
- L30 OctGrêmio2-0Athletico-PR
- D24 OctVitória1-1Athletico-PR
- L18 OctAthletico-PR0-2Palmeiras
- W13 OctChapecoense1-4Athletico-PR
- D9 OctAthletico-PR2-2Atlético-MG
Standings
Flamengo
1º
Pos.
76
Pts
34
P
Athletico-PR
5º
Pos.
54
Pts
34
P
Line-ups
Flamengo
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Athletico-PR
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.