Brasileirão
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Vasco da Gama, with a 49% chance of winning. It expects 1.2 goals from Chapecoense and 1.7 from Vasco da Gama: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Vasco da Gama (49%)
Large sample · 16/20 matches- 1 · Chapecoense
- 26%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · Vasco da Gama
- 49%
Expected goals
Chapecoense 1.18 · Vasco da Gama 1.71
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (10%) · 0-1 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama to score | 76% |
| Vasco da Gama or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Vasco da Gama (draw no bet) | 66% |
| Chapecoense to score | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Daily analysis · Telegram
Follow Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama on Telegram
Every day we share our analysis of the biggest matches on Telegram for free, before kick-off.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Chapecoense come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 15.
- Vasco da Gama come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
- At home, Chapecoense have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Vasco da Gama have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Chapecoense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Chapecoense are 20th and Vasco da Gama 13th (21 and 41 points). Vasco da Gama sit 7 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Chapecoense
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
4-15
Goals
- L3 NovChapecoense1-2Mirassol
- L28 OctRed Bull Bragantino3-0Chapecoense
- W25 OctChapecoense2-1Fluminense
- L17 OctBotafogo1-0Chapecoense
- L13 OctChapecoense1-4Athletico-PR
- L8 OctVitória4-0Chapecoense
Vasco da Gama
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
8-12
Goals
- W4 NovAthletico-PR1-3Vasco da Gama
- L1 NovPalmeiras1-0Vasco da Gama
- L30 OctVasco da Gama1-4Flamengo
- W24 OctVasco da Gama3-2Corinthians
- L21 OctVasco da Gama1-3Boca Juniors
- L18 OctSão Paulo1-0Vasco da Gama
Standings
Chapecoense
20º
Pos.
21
Pts
33
P
Vasco da Gama
13º
Pos.
41
Pts
33
P
Line-ups
Chapecoense
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Vasco da Gama
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
MBet España · Telegram
Free daily analysis on Telegram
Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Keep browsing
More Brasileirão matches
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG
Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 22:30
Coritiba vs Santos
Wednesday, 18 November 2026 at 23:30
Remo vs Chapecoense
Thursday, 19 November 2026 at 00:00
Flamengo vs Athletico-PR
Thursday, 19 November 2026 at 00:30
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
Thursday, 19 November 2026 at 00:30
Corinthians vs Botafogo
Thursday, 19 November 2026 at 01:30
MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.