Brasileirão
Coritiba vs Santos: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Coritiba v Santos in the Brasileirão.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Coritiba vs Santos prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Santos, with a 46% chance of winning. It expects 1.2 goals from Coritiba and 1.6 from Santos: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Santos (46%)
Large sample · 16/20 matches- 1 · Coritiba
- 28%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Santos
- 46%
Expected goals
Coritiba 1.20 · Santos 1.59
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (9%) · 0-1 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Santos to score | 73% |
| Santos or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Coritiba to score | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 20 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Coritiba come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8.
- Santos come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8.
- At home, Coritiba have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Santos have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In Coritiba's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
- In Santos's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Coritiba are 12th and Santos 9th (42 and 47 points). Santos sit 3 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Coritiba
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
3-8
Goals
- L4 NovInternacional1-0Coritiba
- W31 OctCoritiba2-0Vitória
- L26 OctCoritiba0-1Grêmio
- L17 OctAtlético-MG1-0Coritiba
- D12 OctCoritiba1-1Botafogo
- L9 OctFluminense4-0Coritiba
Santos
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
7-8
Goals
- L3 NovRed Bull Bragantino2-1Santos
- D28 OctSantos0-0Palmeiras
- D25 OctSantos1-1Bahia
- W18 OctFluminense1-2Santos
- L11 OctAtlético-MG2-1Santos
- D9 OctSantos2-2Flamengo
Standings
Coritiba
12º
Pos.
42
Pts
34
P
Santos
9º
Pos.
47
Pts
34
P
Line-ups
Coritiba
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Santos
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.