League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield in the League Two.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Bristol Rovers have a slight edge (38% against 35%) and the draw sits at 27%. It expects 1.4 goals from Bristol Rovers and 1.4 from Chesterfield: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Bristol Rovers (38%)
Large sample · 16/15 matches- 1 · Bristol Rovers
- 38%
- X · Draw
- 27%
- 2 · Chesterfield
- 35%
Expected goals
Bristol Rovers 1.43 · Chesterfield 1.38
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Bristol Rovers to score | 70% |
| Chesterfield to score | 69% |
| Bristol Rovers or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Bristol Rovers come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9.
- Chesterfield come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11.
- At home, Bristol Rovers have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Chesterfield have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- In Bristol Rovers's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Chesterfield's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th and Chesterfield 10th (16 and 19 points). Chesterfield sit 7 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Bristol Rovers
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
5-9
Goals
- W6 NovBristol Rovers2-0Cambridge United
- L31 OctFleetwood Town3-1Bristol Rovers
- D24 OctBristol Rovers0-0Swindon Town
- L20 OctBristol Rovers1-2Salford City
- L17 OctShrewsbury Town1-0Bristol Rovers
- L10 OctBristol Rovers1-3Barnet
Chesterfield
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
13-11
Goals
- L30 OctNewport County4-1Chesterfield
- W24 OctChesterfield5-1Crewe Alexandra
- D20 OctChesterfield1-1Colchester United
- L17 OctPort Vale1-0Chesterfield
- D10 OctCrawley Town2-2Chesterfield
- W3 OctChesterfield4-2Tranmere Rovers
Standings
Bristol Rovers
17º
Pos.
16
Pts
14
P
Chesterfield
10º
Pos.
19
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
Bristol Rovers
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Chesterfield
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: FAQ
What time is Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at Memorial Stadium, Bristol.
Who is the favourite in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Bristol Rovers are favourites, with a 38% chance of winning. Full split: Bristol Rovers 38%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 35%. Expected goals: 1.4 - 1.4.
What is the most likely Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
The model gives a 56% chance of both teams scoring and 52% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.