League Two
Rochdale vs York City: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Rochdale v York City in the League Two.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Rochdale vs York City prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: York City have a slight edge (40% against 35%) and the draw sits at 25%. It expects 1.5 goals from Rochdale and 1.6 from York City: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 57%). Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: York City (40%)
Large sample · 16/15 matches- 1 · Rochdale
- 35%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · York City
- 40%
Expected goals
Rochdale 1.48 · York City 1.59
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (9%) · 2-1 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| York City to score | 74% |
| Rochdale to score | 71% |
| York City or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Rochdale or draw (1X) | 60% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| York City wins and over 2.5 | 27% |
| York City (draw no bet) | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Rochdale come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19.
- York City come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11.
- At home, Rochdale have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 3.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, York City have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
- In Rochdale's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In York City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Rochdale are 20th and York City 7th (15 and 20 points). York City sit 13 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Rochdale
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
8-19
Goals
- L3 NovRochdale1-4Doncaster Rovers
- L31 OctPort Vale4-2Rochdale
- L24 OctRochdale0-5Accrington Stanley
- D20 OctRochdale2-2Grimsby Town
- L17 OctCrewe Alexandra3-2Rochdale
- D10 OctTranmere Rovers1-1Rochdale
York City
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
8-11
Goals
- L31 OctGrimsby Town5-2York City
- L27 OctBarnet3-1York City
- W24 OctYork City2-0Port Vale
- D20 OctYork City1-1Accrington Stanley
- D17 OctNewport County1-1York City
- D10 OctYork City1-1Northampton Town
Standings
Rochdale
20º
Pos.
15
Pts
14
P
York City
7º
Pos.
20
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
Rochdale
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
York City
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Rochdale vs York City: FAQ
What time is Rochdale vs York City?
Rochdale vs York City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale.
Who is the favourite in Rochdale vs York City?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, York City are favourites, with a 40% chance of winning. Full split: Rochdale 35%, draw 25%, York City 40%. Expected goals: 1.5 - 1.6.
What is the most likely Rochdale vs York City score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), followed by 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Rochdale vs York City?
The model gives a 59% chance of both teams scoring and 57% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.