League Two
Rotherham United vs Crawley Town: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Rotherham United v Crawley Town in the League Two.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Rotherham United vs Crawley Town prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Rotherham United have a slight edge (41% against 33%) and the draw sits at 26%. It expects 1.6 goals from Rotherham United and 1.4 from Crawley Town: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Rotherham United (41%)
Large sample · 15/14 matches- 1 · Rotherham United
- 41%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Crawley Town
- 33%
Expected goals
Rotherham United 1.56 · Crawley Town 1.39
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Rotherham United to score | 73% |
| Crawley Town to score | 70% |
| Rotherham United or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 15 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Rotherham United come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 14.
- Crawley Town come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10.
- At home, Rotherham United have not won any of their last 4 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Crawley Town have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- In Rotherham United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Crawley Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Rotherham United are 22nd and Crawley Town 24th (12 and 9 points). Rotherham United sit 2 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Rotherham United
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
7-14
Goals
- L3 NovRotherham United0-1Newcastle United U21
- L31 OctSwindon Town2-1Rotherham United
- D24 OctRotherham United3-3Shrewsbury Town
- D20 OctRotherham United2-2Newport County
- L17 OctFleetwood Town2-0Rotherham United
- L10 OctRotherham United1-4Gillingham
Crawley Town
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
7-10
Goals
- W31 OctOldham Athletic0-1Crawley Town
- D24 OctCrawley Town1-1Tranmere Rovers
- L20 OctCrawley Town2-3Shrewsbury Town
- L17 OctSalford City2-1Crawley Town
- D10 OctCrawley Town2-2Chesterfield
- L19 SeptGrimsby Town2-0Crawley Town
Standings
Rotherham United
22º
Pos.
12
Pts
14
P
Crawley Town
24º
Pos.
9
Pts
12
P
Line-ups
Rotherham United
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Crawley Town
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Rotherham United vs Crawley Town: FAQ
What time is Rotherham United vs Crawley Town?
Rotherham United vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham.
Who is the favourite in Rotherham United vs Crawley Town?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Rotherham United are favourites, with a 41% chance of winning. Full split: Rotherham United 41%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 33%. Expected goals: 1.6 - 1.4.
What is the most likely Rotherham United vs Crawley Town score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Rotherham United vs Crawley Town?
The model gives a 57% chance of both teams scoring and 55% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.