League Two
Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Crewe Alexandra v Newport County in the League Two.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Crewe Alexandra have a slight edge (40% against 32%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.4 goals from Crewe Alexandra and 1.2 from Newport County: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Crewe Alexandra (40%)
Large sample · 16/15 matches- 1 · Crewe Alexandra
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 28%
- 2 · Newport County
- 32%
Expected goals
Crewe Alexandra 1.35 · Newport County 1.19
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-0 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% |
| Crewe Alexandra to score | 69% |
| Crewe Alexandra or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Newport County to score | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Crewe Alexandra come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11.
- Newport County come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
- At home, Crewe Alexandra have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Newport County have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
- In Crewe Alexandra's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Newport County's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Crewe Alexandra are 4th and Newport County 14th (22 and 18 points). Crewe Alexandra sit 10 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Crewe Alexandra
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
9-11
Goals
- D31 OctCrewe Alexandra1-1Barnet
- L24 OctChesterfield5-1Crewe Alexandra
- L20 OctExeter City2-0Crewe Alexandra
- W17 OctCrewe Alexandra3-2Rochdale
- W10 OctSwindon Town0-1Crewe Alexandra
- W3 OctCrewe Alexandra3-1Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
9-7
Goals
- L3 NovNewport County1-2Crystal Palace U21
- W30 OctNewport County4-1Chesterfield
- L24 OctCheltenham Town1-0Newport County
- D20 OctRotherham United2-2Newport County
- D17 OctNewport County1-1York City
- W10 OctNewport County1-0Colchester United
Standings
Crewe Alexandra
4º
Pos.
22
Pts
14
P
Newport County
14º
Pos.
18
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
Crewe Alexandra
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Newport County
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County: FAQ
What time is Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County?
Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at Mornflake Stadium, Crewe.
Who is the favourite in Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Crewe Alexandra are favourites, with a 40% chance of winning. Full split: Crewe Alexandra 40%, draw 28%, Newport County 32%. Expected goals: 1.4 - 1.2.
What is the most likely Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 1-0 (10%) and 0-0 (9%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County?
The model gives a 52% chance of both teams scoring and 47% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.