League Two
Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Exeter City v Cheltenham Town in the League Two.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Exeter City, with a 45% chance of winning. It expects 1.4 goals from Exeter City and 1.0 from Cheltenham Town: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 57%). Both teams to score: yes at 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Exeter City (45%)
Large sample · 16/16 matches- 1 · Exeter City
- 45%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Cheltenham Town
- 26%
Expected goals
Exeter City 1.35 · Cheltenham Town 0.96
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (11%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Exeter City or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% |
| Exeter City to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Exeter City (draw no bet) | 63% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Exeter City come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4.
- Cheltenham Town come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11.
- At home, Exeter City have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Cheltenham Town have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded on average).
- In Exeter City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Cheltenham Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, Exeter City are 12th and Cheltenham Town 5th (19 and 21 points). Cheltenham Town sit 7 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Exeter City
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
8-4
Goals
- W7 NovHuddersfield Town1-2Exeter City
- L31 OctSalford City2-1Exeter City
- W24 OctExeter City2-1Fleetwood Town
- W20 OctExeter City2-0Crewe Alexandra
- D17 OctColchester United0-0Exeter City
- W10 OctShrewsbury Town0-1Exeter City
Cheltenham Town
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
9-11
Goals
- W7 NovCheltenham Town2-0FC Halifax Town
- L31 OctTranmere Rovers3-1Cheltenham Town
- W24 OctCheltenham Town1-0Newport County
- W20 OctCheltenham Town4-2Fleetwood Town
- L17 OctOldham Athletic4-1Cheltenham Town
- L10 OctCheltenham Town0-2Salford City
Standings
Exeter City
12º
Pos.
19
Pts
14
P
Cheltenham Town
5º
Pos.
21
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
Exeter City
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Cheltenham Town
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town: FAQ
What time is Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town?
Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 13:30 (Spain time), at St James Park, Exeter.
Who is the favourite in Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Exeter City are favourites, with a 45% chance of winning. Full split: Exeter City 45%, draw 29%, Cheltenham Town 26%. Expected goals: 1.4 - 1.0.
What is the most likely Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (11%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town?
The model gives a 47% chance of both teams scoring and 43% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.