League Two
Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Swindon Town v Grimsby Town in the League Two.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Swindon Town have a slight edge (37% against 36%) and the draw sits at 27%. It expects 1.4 goals from Swindon Town and 1.4 from Grimsby Town: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Swindon Town (37%)
Large sample · 16/16 matches- 1 · Swindon Town
- 37%
- X · Draw
- 27%
- 2 · Grimsby Town
- 36%
Expected goals
Swindon Town 1.43 · Grimsby Town 1.41
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 2-1 (8%) · 1-2 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Swindon Town to score | 70% |
| Grimsby Town to score | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% |
| Swindon Town or draw (1X) | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Swindon Town come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
- Grimsby Town come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10.
- At home, Swindon Town have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Grimsby Town have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- In Swindon Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Grimsby Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Swindon Town are 13th and Grimsby Town 6th (19 and 20 points). Grimsby Town sit 7 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Swindon Town
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
7-6
Goals
- L7 NovMilton Keynes Dons2-1Swindon Town
- W31 OctSwindon Town2-1Rotherham United
- D24 OctBristol Rovers0-0Swindon Town
- W20 OctBarnet1-3Swindon Town
- D17 OctSwindon Town1-1Walsall
- L10 OctSwindon Town0-1Crewe Alexandra
Grimsby Town
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
12-10
Goals
- W31 OctGrimsby Town5-2York City
- W24 OctGillingham1-4Grimsby Town
- D20 OctRochdale2-2Grimsby Town
- L17 OctGrimsby Town0-2Northampton Town
- L10 OctPort Vale1-0Grimsby Town
- L3 OctGrimsby Town1-2Shrewsbury Town
Standings
Swindon Town
13º
Pos.
19
Pts
14
P
Grimsby Town
6º
Pos.
20
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
Swindon Town
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Grimsby Town
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town: FAQ
What time is Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town?
Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at The County Ground, Swindon.
Who is the favourite in Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Swindon Town are favourites, with a 37% chance of winning. Full split: Swindon Town 37%, draw 27%, Grimsby Town 36%. Expected goals: 1.4 - 1.4.
What is the most likely Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town?
The model gives a 56% chance of both teams scoring and 53% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.