Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 21:00Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlético-MG v Chapecoense in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético-MG (59%)

Medium sample · 12/9 matches
1 · Atlético-MG
59%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Chapecoense
19%

Expected goals

Atlético-MG 2.04 · Chapecoense 1.09

Most likely scores

1-1 (10%) · 2-1 (10%) · 2-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 12 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlético-MG went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9.
  • Chapecoense went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11.
  • At home, Atlético-MG have won 4 of their last 4 matches (2.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Chapecoense have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Atlético-MG's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Chapecoense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

Last 6 matches

WWLLWW

4

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

11-9

Goals

  • W17 SeptAtlético-MG4-2Santos
  • W12 SeptAtlético-MG3-1Fluminense
  • L10 SeptSantos2-0Atlético-MG
  • L5 SeptSão Paulo2-0Atlético-MG
  • W2 SeptAtlético-MG2-1Cruzeiro
  • W29 AugAtlético-MG2-1Vitória
Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Last 6 matches

LDWLWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

9-11

Goals

  • L12 SeptChapecoense1-2Internacional
  • W7 SeptCorinthians1-2Chapecoense
  • L30 AugGrêmio3-1Chapecoense
  • W23 AugChapecoense1-0São Paulo
  • D16 AugChapecoense3-3Bahia
  • L9 AugCoritiba2-1Chapecoense

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

4-2-3-1
1
Gabriel Delfim
2
Natanael
36
Kauã Pascini
40
Vitão
14
Vitor Hugo
5
Alexsander
28
Tomás Cuello
8
Maycon
7
Fred
11
Bernard
27
Alan Minda

Substitutes

D
Dudu
#92 · SUB
MC
Mamady Cissé
#39 · SUB
TP
Tomás Pérez
#25 · SUB
RL
Renan Lodi
#6 · SUB
MC
Mateo Casierra
#9 · SUB
LD
Léo Duarte
#3 · SUB
AF
Alan Franco
#21 · SUB
ÁP
Ángelo Preciado
#23 · SUB
R
Robert
#31 · SUB
KC
Kevin Castaño
#15 · SUB
IG
Igor Gomes
#17 · SUB
L
Lyanco
#13 · SUB
Chapecoense

Chapecoense

4-2-3-1
98
Anderson Paixão
23
Dudu
91
Bruno Pacheco
21
Kauan
3
Eduardo Doma
88
Yago Felipe
7
Marcinho
27
Camilo
10
Giovanni Augusto
31
Maurício Garcez
9
Túlio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira

Substitutes

MC
Miguel Carvalho
#80 · SUB
YB
Yannick Bolasie
#11 · SUB
D
David
#19 · SUB
BM
Bruno Matias
#16 · SUB
M
Matheus
#30 · SUB
RM
Rosivan Macedo Soares
#55 · SUB
RT
Rafael Thyere
#15 · SUB
RT
Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi
#70 · SUB
F
Fernando
#12 · SUB
DB
Dylan Borrero
#77 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.