Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 21:00Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Atlético-MG vs Fluminense: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlético-MG v Fluminense in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlético-MG vs Fluminense prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético-MG (39%)

Medium sample · 10/11 matches
1 · Atlético-MG
39%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Fluminense
32%

Expected goals

Atlético-MG 1.23 · Fluminense 1.09

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlético-MG went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7.
  • Fluminense went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Atlético-MG have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Fluminense have not won any of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Atlético-MG's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Fluminense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

Last 6 matches

DDWWLL

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

5-7

Goals

  • L10 SeptSantos2-0Atlético-MG
  • L5 SeptSão Paulo2-0Atlético-MG
  • W2 SeptAtlético-MG2-1Cruzeiro
  • W29 AugAtlético-MG2-1Vitória
  • D26 AugCruzeiro1-1Atlético-MG
  • D22 AugInternacional0-0Atlético-MG
Fluminense

Fluminense

Last 6 matches

WDWDWW

4

Wins

2

Draws

0

Losses

12-7

Goals

  • W9 SeptFluminense2-0Platense
  • W6 SeptFluminense1-0Vasco da Gama
  • D30 AugAthletico-PR3-3Fluminense
  • W22 AugFluminense2-1Remo
  • D19 AugIndependiente Rivadavia1-1Fluminense
  • W15 AugFluminense3-2Palmeiras

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

4-2-3-1
1
Gabriel Delfim
2
Natanael
36
Kauã Pascini
40
Vitão
14
Vitor Hugo
15
Kevin Castaño
28
Tomás Cuello
21
Alan Franco
7
Fred
11
Bernard
19
Reiner

Substitutes

D
Dudu
#92 · SUB
IG
Igor Gomes
#17 · SUB
GS
Gustavo Scarpa
#10 · SUB
MC
Mamady Cissé
#39 · SUB
ÁP
Ángelo Preciado
#23 · SUB
L
Lyanco
#13 · SUB
M
Maycon
#8 · SUB
MC
Mateo Casierra
#9 · SUB
R
Robert
#31 · SUB
AM
Alan Minda
#27 · SUB
RL
Renan Lodi
#6 · SUB
A
Alexsander
#5 · SUB
Fluminense

Fluminense

4-4-2
1
Fábio
46
Julio Fidelis
13
Guilherme Arana
21
Igor Rabello
22
Juan Freytes
94
Otávio
17
Agustín Canobbio
16
Nonato
11
Jefferson Savarino
32
Luciano Acosta
19
Rodrigo Castillo

Substitutes

JM
Julian Millan
#29 · SUB
J
Jemmes
#44 · SUB
R
René
#6 · SUB
RS
Ruan Sales
#41 · SUB
R
Riquelme
#28 · SUB
H
Hércules
#35 · SUB
KS
Kevin Serna
#90 · SUB
WN
Wesley Natã
#34 · SUB
G
Ganso
#10 · SUB
M
Martinelli
#8 · SUB
VE
Vitor Eudes
#98 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.