Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 23:30Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, Sao Paulo

São Paulo vs Atlético-MG: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on São Paulo v Atlético-MG in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

São Paulo vs Atlético-MG prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético-MG (36%)

Medium sample · 8/8 matches
1 · São Paulo
35%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Atlético-MG
36%

Expected goals

São Paulo 1.24 · Atlético-MG 1.26

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 0-1 (10%) · 1-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • São Paulo went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7.
  • Atlético-MG went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5.
  • At home, São Paulo have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Atlético-MG have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • In São Paulo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Atlético-MG's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

São Paulo

São Paulo

Last 6 matches

LDDWLW

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

8-7

Goals

  • W30 AugSão Paulo2-1Red Bull Bragantino
  • L23 AugChapecoense1-0São Paulo
  • W19 AugSão Paulo3-1Bolívar
  • D16 AugSão Paulo1-1Coritiba
  • D12 AugBolívar1-1São Paulo
  • L8 AugGrêmio2-1São Paulo
Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

Last 6 matches

WDDDWW

3

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

10-5

Goals

  • W2 SeptAtlético-MG2-1Cruzeiro
  • W29 AugAtlético-MG2-1Vitória
  • D26 AugCruzeiro1-1Atlético-MG
  • D22 AugInternacional0-0Atlético-MG
  • D20 AugAtlético-MG2-2Red Bull Bragantino
  • W16 AugAtlético-MG3-0Grêmio

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

São Paulo

São Paulo

3-4-2-1
23
Rafael
35
Sabino
5
Robert Arboleda
22
Domingos Duarte
19
Lucas Ramon
18
Wendell
94
Danielzinho
8
Marcos Antonio
10
Luciano
37
Artur
43
Gustavo Santana

Substitutes

PM
Pablo Maia
#29 · SUB
T
Tetê
#34 · SUB
CC
Carlos Coronel
#31 · SUB
RT
Rafael Tolói
#2 · SUB
DF
Djhordney Ferreira
#48 · SUB
RF
Ryan Francisco
#49 · SUB
I
Iago
#12 · SUB
JC
Jonathan Calleri
#9 · SUB
N
Newton
#28 · SUB
C
Cauly
#80 · SUB
F
Ferreira
#11 · SUB
AO
André Oliveira
#17 · SUB
Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

3-4-2-1
1
Gabriel Delfim
21
Alan Franco
40
Vitão
2
Natanael
28
Tomás Cuello
6
Renan Lodi
15
Kevin Castaño
5
Alexsander
19
Reiner
30
Victor Hugo
11
Bernard

Substitutes

GS
Gustavo Scarpa
#10 · SUB
MC
Mamady Cissé
#39 · SUB
KP
Kauã Pascini
#36 · SUB
PT
Pedro Tocantins
#53 · SUB
F
Fred
#7 · SUB
PC
Pedro Cobra
#46 · SUB
MC
Mateo Casierra
#9 · SUB
D
Dudu
#92 · SUB
R
Robert
#31 · SUB
VH
Vitor Hugo
#14 · SUB
ÁP
Ángelo Preciado
#23 · SUB
AM
Alan Minda
#27 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.