Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 16:00Arena da Baixada, Curitiba

Athletico-PR vs Fluminense: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Athletico-PR v Fluminense in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Athletico-PR vs Fluminense prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Athletico-PR (48%)

Small sample · 6/8 matches
1 · Athletico-PR
48%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Fluminense
23%

Expected goals

Athletico-PR 1.43 · Fluminense 0.92

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Athletico-PR went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7.
  • Fluminense went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Athletico-PR have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Fluminense have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Athletico-PR's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Fluminense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

Last 6 matches

DWLWDW

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

8-7

Goals

  • W25 AugBotafogo2-3Athletico-PR
  • D15 AugAthletico-PR1-1Red Bull Bragantino
  • W9 AugSantos0-2Athletico-PR
  • L7 AugVitória4-0Athletico-PR
  • W4 AugAthletico-PR2-0Vitória
  • D31 JulCorinthians0-0Athletico-PR
Fluminense

Fluminense

Last 6 matches

DDDWDW

2

Wins

4

Draws

0

Losses

7-5

Goals

  • W22 AugFluminense2-1Remo
  • D19 AugIndependiente Rivadavia1-1Fluminense
  • W15 AugFluminense3-2Palmeiras
  • D12 AugFluminense0-0Independiente Rivadavia
  • D9 AugBotafogo1-1Fluminense
  • D30 JulFluminense0-0Bahia

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

3-4-2-1
23
Santos
4
Arthur Dias
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
25
Dantas
29
Gastón Benavídez
7
Stiven Mendoza
16
Jádson
14
Luiz Gustavo
9
Kevin Viveros
21
Leozinho
8
João Cruz

Substitutes

KV
Kerwin Vargas
#18 · SUB
M
Mycael
#1 · SUB
CT
Carlos Terán
#22 · SUB
I
Isaac
#11 · SUB
F
Filipinho
#5 · SUB
BZ
Bruno Zapelli
#10 · SUB
L
Léo
#3 · SUB
DR
Diogo Riquelme
#63 · SUB
JR
Jorge Rivaldo
#19 · SUB
GJ
Gilberto Junior
#2 · SUB
R
Renan
#70 · SUB
E
Eduardo
#53 · SUB
Fluminense

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
1
Fábio
23
Guga
6
René
4
Ignácio
29
Julian Millan
8
Martinelli
17
Agustín Canobbio
16
Nonato
10
Ganso
30
Yeferson Soteldo
7
Hulk

Substitutes

MP
Marcelo Pitaluga
#27 · SUB
O
Otávio
#94 · SUB
TS
Thiago Silva
#3 · SUB
KS
Kevin Serna
#90 · SUB
JS
Jefferson Savarino
#11 · SUB
J
Jemmes
#44 · SUB
GA
Guilherme Arana
#13 · SUB
GC
Germán Cano
#14 · SUB
JF
Julio Fidelis
#46 · SUB
R
Riquelme
#28 · SUB
RC
Rodrigo Castillo
#19 · SUB
LA
Luciano Acosta
#32 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.