Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 21:00Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Grêmio v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

Share

MBet statistical model

Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Grêmio (38%)

Medium sample · 9/12 matches
1 · Grêmio
38%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Vasco da Gama
32%

Expected goals

Grêmio 1.22 · Vasco da Gama 1.11

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 12 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

Share

Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Grêmio went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Grêmio have won 2 of their last 2 matches (3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Vasco da Gama have won 1 of their last 4 matches (0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Grêmio's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Grêmio

Grêmio

Last 6 matches

LLDWWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

6-7

Goals

  • L8 SeptVitória1-0Grêmio
  • W4 SeptGrêmio3-1Internacional
  • W30 AugGrêmio3-1Chapecoense
  • D28 AugInternacional0-0Grêmio
  • L23 AugRed Bull Bragantino1-0Grêmio
  • L16 AugAtlético-MG3-0Grêmio
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 6 matches

LWWWLD

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

7-6

Goals

  • D9 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe0-0Vasco da Gama
  • L6 SeptFluminense1-0Vasco da Gama
  • W3 SeptVitória0-2Vasco da Gama
  • W30 AugVasco da Gama3-1Cruzeiro
  • W27 AugVasco da Gama1-0Vitória
  • L23 AugPalmeiras4-1Vasco da Gama

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Grêmio

Grêmio

4-1-4-1
1
Weverton
27
Diego Caito
54
Pedro Gabriel
82
Wallace
4
Wálter Kannemann
8
Erick Noriega
11
Mateus Tetê
20
Mathías Villasanti
10
Filip Krovinovic
77
Jovane Cabral
95
Carlos Vinícius

Substitutes

MR
Marcos Rocha
#14 · SUB
WL
Wagner Leonardo
#3 · SUB
GM
Gustavo Martins
#6 · SUB
MN
Matheus Nascimento
#30 · SUB
JE
José Enamorado
#99 · SUB
JN
Juan Nardoni
#5 · SUB
RF
Riquelme Freitas
#65 · SUB
DB
Danilo Barbosa
#15 · SUB
GG
Gabriel Grando
#12 · SUB
JP
João Pedro
#18 · SUB
MB
Martin Braithwaite
#22 · SUB
BZ
Bernardo Zortea
#50 · SUB
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-1-4-1
1
Léo Jardim
96
Paulo Henrique
66
Cuiabano
46
Carlos Cuesta
30
Robert
5
Santiago Sosa
28
Adson
3
Tchê Tchê
23
Thiago Mendes
11
Andrés Gómez
9
Facundo Colidio

Substitutes

D
David
#7 · SUB
LF
Lucas Freitas
#43 · SUB
JL
José Luis Rodríguez
#2 · SUB
NM
Nuno Moreira
#17 · SUB
LP
Lucas Piton
#6 · SUB
BD
Bruno Duarte
#19 · SUB
RR
Ramon Rique
#83 · SUB
J
Jair
#8 · SUB
MH
Marino Hinestroza
#18 · SUB
AL
Alan Lescano
#22 · SUB
CB
Cauan Barros
#88 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB

MBet España · Telegram

Free daily analysis on Telegram

Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.

18+ · Gamble responsibly

Join for free

Keep browsing

More Brasileirão matches

MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.