Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 23:30Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo

Palmeiras vs São Paulo: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Palmeiras v São Paulo in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Palmeiras vs São Paulo prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Palmeiras (51%)

Medium sample · 11/10 matches
1 · Palmeiras
51%
X · Draw
27%
2 · São Paulo
21%

Expected goals

Palmeiras 1.54 · São Paulo 0.91

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (13%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Palmeiras went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 2.
  • São Paulo went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Palmeiras have won 3 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, São Paulo have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Palmeiras's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In São Paulo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Last 6 matches

WWDDDW

3

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

9-2

Goals

  • W10 SeptPalmeiras1-0Liga de Quito
  • D6 SeptBotafogo0-0Palmeiras
  • D3 SeptSantos0-0Palmeiras
  • D30 AugMirassol1-1Palmeiras
  • W27 AugPalmeiras3-0Santos
  • W23 AugPalmeiras4-1Vasco da Gama
São Paulo

São Paulo

Last 6 matches

DWLWWL

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

8-5

Goals

  • L9 SeptBoca Juniors1-0São Paulo
  • W5 SeptSão Paulo2-0Atlético-MG
  • W30 AugSão Paulo2-1Red Bull Bragantino
  • L23 AugChapecoense1-0São Paulo
  • W19 AugSão Paulo3-1Bolívar
  • D16 AugSão Paulo1-1Coritiba

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1
1
Carlos Miguel
3
Bruno Fuchs
15
Gustavo Gómez
26
Murilo
4
Agustín Giay
22
Joaquín Piquerez
8
Andreas Pereira
30
Lucas Evangelista
9
Vitor Roque
11
Jhon Arias
42
José Manuel López

Substitutes

L
Larson
#48 · SUB
AG
Arthur Gabriel
#56 · SUB
EM
Erick Machado
#45 · SUB
EM
Emiliano Martínez
#32 · SUB
BB
Bruno Bertinato
#21 · SUB
ML
Marcelo Lomba
#14 · SUB
LF
Luis Felipe
#50 · SUB
K
Khellven
#12 · SUB
H
Heittor
#39 · SUB
LB
Luiz Benedetti
#43 · SUB
FA
Felipe Anderson
#7 · SUB
MB
Miguel Bilong
#29 · SUB
São Paulo

São Paulo

3-4-2-1
31
Carlos Coronel
54
Luis Osorio
2
Rafael Tolói
28
Newton
27
Joao Victor
18
Wendell
48
Djhordney Ferreira
29
Pablo Maia
17
André Oliveira
80
Cauly
11
Ferreira

Substitutes

RA
Robert Arboleda
#5 · SUB
I
Isac
#53 · SUB
I
Iago
#12 · SUB
MA
Marcos Antonio
#8 · SUB
LR
Lucas Ramon
#19 · SUB
JC
Jonathan Calleri
#9 · SUB
T
Tetê
#34 · SUB
D
Danielzinho
#94 · SUB
A
Artur
#37 · SUB
R
Rafael
#23 · SUB
GS
Gustavo Santana
#43 · SUB
PF
Pedro Ferreira
#46 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.