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Monday, 21 September 2026 at 00:30Arena da Baixada, Curitiba

Athletico-PR vs Bahia: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Athletico-PR v Bahia in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Athletico-PR vs Bahia prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Athletico-PR (42%)

Medium sample · 9/10 matches
1 · Athletico-PR
42%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Bahia
33%

Expected goals

Athletico-PR 1.58 · Bahia 1.38

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 10 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Athletico-PR went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12.
  • Bahia went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8.
  • At home, Athletico-PR have not won any of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Bahia have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Athletico-PR's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Bahia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

Last 6 matches

WDWDLD

2

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

13-12

Goals

  • D12 SeptCoritiba3-3Athletico-PR
  • L6 SeptCruzeiro3-1Athletico-PR
  • D30 AugAthletico-PR3-3Fluminense
  • W25 AugBotafogo2-3Athletico-PR
  • D15 AugAthletico-PR1-1Red Bull Bragantino
  • W9 AugSantos0-2Athletico-PR
Bahia

Bahia

Last 6 matches

DDWWWW

4

Wins

2

Draws

0

Losses

13-8

Goals

  • W15 SeptBahia2-1Remo
  • W5 SeptRed Bull Bragantino2-3Bahia
  • W31 AugBahia3-2Internacional
  • W23 AugVitória0-2Bahia
  • D16 AugChapecoense3-3Bahia
  • D9 AugBahia0-0Vasco da Gama

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

3-4-2-1
1
Mycael
4
Arthur Dias
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
25
Dantas
12
Gilberto
37
Lucas Esquivel
16
Jádson
14
Luiz Gustavo
18
Kerwin Vargas
21
Leozinho
7
Stiven Mendoza

Substitutes

GJ
Gilberto Junior
#2 · SUB
JR
Jorge Rivaldo
#19 · SUB
LD
Leonardo Derik
#6 · SUB
BZ
Bruno Zapelli
#10 · SUB
CT
Carlos Terán
#22 · SUB
C
Chiqueti
#47 · SUB
E
Eduardo
#53 · SUB
L
Léo
#3 · SUB
S
Santos
#23 · SUB
F
Filipinho
#5 · SUB
R
Renan
#70 · SUB
JP
Juan Portilla
#27 · SUB
Bahia

Bahia

4-3-3
1
Ronaldo
44
Marcos Victor
46
Luciano Juba
33
David Duarte
4
Kanu
5
Nicolás Acevedo
14
Erick
11
Rodrigo Nestor
9
Alejo Veliz
7
Ademir
16
Erick Pulga

Substitutes

RP
Ruan Pablo
#77 · SUB
CA
Caio Alexandre
#8 · SUB
MM
Marco Moreno
#3 · SUB
KF
Kaue Furquim
#57 · SUB
ZG
Zé Guilherme
#66 · SUB
ÉR
Éverton Ribeiro
#10 · SUB
WJ
Willian José
#12 · SUB
RG
Román Gómez
#31 · SUB
MS
Mateo Sanabria
#23 · SUB
E
Everaldo
#27 · SUB
GH
Guido Herrera
#17 · SUB
JL
Jean Lucas
#6 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.