Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 01:30Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vasco da Gama v Coritiba in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Vasco da Gama (47%)

Medium sample · 14/9 matches
1 · Vasco da Gama
47%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Coritiba
26%

Expected goals

Vasco da Gama 1.54 · Coritiba 1.07

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 3.
  • Coritiba went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10.
  • At home, Vasco da Gama have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Coritiba have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Coritiba's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 6 matches

WWLDWW

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

9-3

Goals

  • W16 SeptVasco da Gama2-0Independiente Santa Fe
  • W12 SeptGrêmio1-2Vasco da Gama
  • D9 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe0-0Vasco da Gama
  • L6 SeptFluminense1-0Vasco da Gama
  • W3 SeptVitória0-2Vasco da Gama
  • W30 AugVasco da Gama3-1Cruzeiro
Coritiba

Coritiba

Last 6 matches

WDWWLD

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

12-10

Goals

  • D12 SeptCoritiba3-3Athletico-PR
  • L6 SeptCoritiba1-2Mirassol
  • W1 SeptRemo2-3Coritiba
  • W24 AugCoritiba2-1Corinthians
  • D16 AugSão Paulo1-1Coritiba
  • W9 AugCoritiba2-1Chapecoense

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-3-3
1
Léo Jardim
96
Paulo Henrique
66
Cuiabano
4
Alan Saldivia
30
Robert
5
Santiago Sosa
22
Alan Lescano
188
Thiago Mendes
19
Bruno Duarte
11
Andrés Gómez
9
Facundo Colidio

Substitutes

A
Adson
#28 · SUB
MH
Marino Hinestroza
#18 · SUB
LP
Lucas Piton
#6 · SUB
RR
Ramon Rique
#83 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB
JL
José Luis Rodríguez
#2 · SUB
J
Jair
#8 · SUB
CS
Claudio Spinelli
#77 · SUB
GP
Gabriel Pereira
#55 · SUB
LF
Lucas Freitas
#43 · SUB
D
David
#7 · SUB
JR
Johan Rojas
#10 · SUB
Coritiba

Coritiba

4-2-3-1
1
Pedro Luccas
50
Tissi
26
Bruno Melo
23
Tiago
4
Rodrigo Moledo
19
Sebastián Gómez
28
Fabinho
21
Thiago Santos
10
Josué Pesqueira
7
Joaquín Lavega
32
Pedro Rocha

Substitutes

PR
Pedro Rangel
#22 · SUB
R
Rodrigo
#66 · SUB
PR
Paulo Roberto
#18 · SUB
NF
Nicolás Fonseca
#5 · SUB
M
Maicon
#3 · SUB
VP
Vini Paulista
#36 · SUB
DA
David Alves
#33 · SUB
RR
Rodrigo Rodrigues
#99 · SUB
GI
Gabriel Ibson Evangelista Da Silva
#27 · SUB
RM
Renato Marques
#78 · SUB
C
Crepaldi
#37 · SUB
FB
Fabricio Bustos
#14 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.