Brasileirão

Brasileirão

3-2

Full-time
Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 00:30Joao Havelange Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Botafogo vs Grêmio: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Botafogo v Grêmio in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Botafogo vs Grêmio prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Botafogo (40%)

Medium sample · 11/10 matches
1 · Botafogo
40%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Grêmio
30%

Expected goals

Botafogo 1.29 · Grêmio 1.08

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Botafogo went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8.
  • Grêmio went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Botafogo have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Grêmio have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • In Botafogo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Grêmio's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Botafogo

Botafogo

Last 6 matches

LWLLDD

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

4-8

Goals

  • D13 SeptBotafogo1-1Red Bull Bragantino
  • D6 SeptBotafogo0-0Palmeiras
  • L30 AugFlamengo3-0Botafogo
  • L25 AugBotafogo2-3Athletico-PR
  • W21 AugBotafogo1-0Cienciano del Cusco
  • L16 AugVitória1-0Botafogo
Grêmio

Grêmio

Last 6 matches

LDWWLL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

7-6

Goals

  • L12 SeptGrêmio1-2Vasco da Gama
  • L8 SeptVitória1-0Grêmio
  • W4 SeptGrêmio3-1Internacional
  • W30 AugGrêmio3-1Chapecoense
  • D28 AugInternacional0-0Grêmio
  • L23 AugRed Bull Bragantino1-0Grêmio

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Botafogo

Botafogo

4-2-3-1
12
Gabriel Batista
2
Vitinho
13
Alex Telles
3
Arthur Chaves
33
Lucas Monzón
8
Danilo Santos
7
Júnior Santos
75
Victor Hugo
88
Edenilson
10
Álvaro Montoro
19
Arthur Cabral

Substitutes

TS
Tiquinho Soares
#9 · SUB
A
Allan
#25 · SUB
GJ
Gabriel Justino
#34 · SUB
D
Domingos
#91 · SUB
FM
Fernando Marçal
#21 · SUB
LV
Lucas Villalba
#77 · SUB
PV
Paulo Victor
#29 · SUB
W
Warleson
#17 · SUB
LE
Lucas Emanuel Jales Do Nascimento
#79 · SUB
K
Kadu
#42 · SUB
D
Danilo
#90 · SUB
KT
Kauan Toledo
#59 · SUB
Grêmio

Grêmio

4-2-3-1
1
Weverton
27
Diego Caito
38
Caio Paulista
6
Gustavo Martins
82
Wallace
20
Mathías Villasanti
7
Cristian Pavón
8
Erick Noriega
10
Filip Krovinovic
77
Jovane Cabral
95
Carlos Vinícius

Substitutes

MB
Martin Braithwaite
#22 · SUB
MT
Mateus Tetê
#11 · SUB
DB
Danilo Barbosa
#15 · SUB
GG
Gabriel Grando
#12 · SUB
MN
Matheus Nascimento
#30 · SUB
JP
João Pedro
#18 · SUB
GM
Gabriel Menegon
#31 · SUB
MR
Marcos Rocha
#14 · SUB
JE
José Enamorado
#99 · SUB
WL
Wagner Leonardo
#3 · SUB
JN
Juan Nardoni
#5 · SUB
WK
Wálter Kannemann
#4 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.