Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 23:05Estadio Jaraguay (Municipal de Montería), Montería

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Deportes Tolima: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Jaguares de Córdoba v Deportes Tolima in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Deportes Tolima prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Deportes Tolima (37%)

Medium sample · 11/15 matches
1 · Jaguares de Córdoba
34%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Deportes Tolima
37%

Expected goals

Jaguares de Córdoba 1.19 · Deportes Tolima 1.24

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 0-1 (10%) · 1-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 15 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Jaguares de Córdoba went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13.
  • Deportes Tolima went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Jaguares de Córdoba have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Deportes Tolima have not won any of their last 4 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Jaguares de Córdoba's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Deportes Tolima's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Jaguares de Córdoba

Jaguares de Córdoba

Last 6 matches

DDDLLL

0

Wins

3

Draws

3

Losses

9-13

Goals

  • L3 OctÁguilas Doradas2-0Jaguares de Córdoba
  • L27 SeptJaguares de Córdoba1-2Alianza FC
  • L23 SeptIndependiente Medellín2-1Jaguares de Córdoba
  • D12 SeptJaguares de Córdoba2-2Fortaleza CEIF
  • D6 SeptAtlético Junior3-3Jaguares de Córdoba
  • D29 AugJaguares de Córdoba2-2América de Cali
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Last 6 matches

LLDDDD

0

Wins

4

Draws

2

Losses

3-5

Goals

  • D9 OctAtlético Nacional0-0Deportes Tolima
  • D3 OctDeportes Tolima0-0Boyacá Chicó FC
  • D28 SeptFortaleza CEIF2-2Deportes Tolima
  • D21 SeptDeportes Tolima1-1América de Cali
  • L17 SeptOnce Caldas1-0Deportes Tolima
  • L12 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe1-0Deportes Tolima

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Jaguares de Córdoba

Jaguares de Córdoba

4-2-3-1
12
Franklin Mosquera
4
Juan Franco
18
Luis Jiménez
6
Jonathan Lovera
29
Carlos Henao
21
Rafael Bustamante
7
Wilfrido De La Rosa
5
Royscer Colpa
10
Cristian Alvarez
9
Johar Mejía
11
Andrés Rentería

Substitutes

JY
Jose Yanez
#32 · SUB
AA
Andrés Alfonso
#2 · SUB
JE
Johan Esteban Beltran
#16 · SUB
FG
Faber Gracia
#27 · SUB
DL
Darwin López
#17 · SUB
EL
Elio López
#26 · SUB
DZ
Diego Zuluaga
#28 · SUB
SC
Santiago Cubides
#24 · SUB
CC
Cristian Castro
#34 · SUB
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

5-3-2
1
Neto
33
Jherson Mosquera
30
Shean Barbosa
2
Anderson Angulo
80
Brayan Rovira
14
Homer Martínez
8
Ever Valencia
20
Junior Hernández
32
Sebastián Guzmán
15
Sergio Aguayo
24
Adrián Parra

Substitutes

JV
Jader Valencia
#11 · SUB
VR
Victor Reyes
#16 · SUB
NS
Néifer Sánchez
#29 · SUB
EL
Edwar López
#28 · SUB
LS
Luis Sandoval
#9 · SUB
GM
Gustavo Moreno
#34 · SUB
MO
Miguel Ortega
#13 · SUB
JM
Juan Mera
#5 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.