Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Monday, 5 October 2026 at 01:10Estadio Alfonso López, Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlético Bucaramanga v Atlético Junior in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Junior prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético Bucaramanga (56%)

Medium sample · 10/10 matches
1 · Atlético Bucaramanga
56%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Atlético Junior
21%

Expected goals

Atlético Bucaramanga 1.90 · Atlético Junior 1.08

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (10%) · 2-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 10 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlético Bucaramanga went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5.
  • Atlético Junior went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9.
  • At home, Atlético Bucaramanga have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Atlético Junior have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Atlético Bucaramanga's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Atlético Junior's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga

Last 6 matches

DDWDWW

3

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

11-5

Goals

  • W26 SeptOnce Caldas1-3Atlético Bucaramanga
  • W20 SeptAtlético Bucaramanga2-0Internacional de Bogotá
  • D18 SeptAtlético Bucaramanga2-2Independiente Medellín
  • W13 SeptDeportivo Pereira1-3Atlético Bucaramanga
  • D31 AugDeportivo Cali1-1Atlético Bucaramanga
  • D22 AugDeportes Tolima0-0Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Junior

Atlético Junior

Last 6 matches

DDLWWL

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

11-9

Goals

  • L1 OctAtlético Nacional3-1Atlético Junior
  • W27 SeptAtlético Junior2-0Independiente Medellín
  • W20 SeptFortaleza CEIF1-4Atlético Junior
  • L13 SeptAlianza FC1-0Atlético Junior
  • D6 SeptAtlético Junior3-3Jaguares de Córdoba
  • D30 AugAtlético Junior1-1Independiente Santa Fe

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga

5-3-2
12
Diego Novoa
6
Nilson Castrillón
8
Fredy Hinestroza
4
José Daniel García
23
Carlos Romaña
24
José Ortiz
21
Felix Charrupí
22
Edwin Fabri Castro
17
Enmerson Batalla
27
Luciano Pons
10
Fabián Sambueza

Substitutes

LM
Luis Matheus
#16 · SUB
LF
Leonardo Flores
#28 · SUB
VC
Victor Cantillo
#30 · SUB
AG
Aldair Gutiérrez
#19 · SUB
OA
Omar Albornoz
#80 · SUB
BC
Brandon Caicedo
#9 · SUB
MR
Martín Rea
#3 · SUB
FS
Fredy Salazar
#11 · SUB
AM
Adrián Murillo
#5 · SUB
Atlético Junior

Atlético Junior

4-2-3-1
30
Jefersson Martínez
98
Jermein Peña
26
Jeison Suárez
5
Daniel Rivera
23
Pablo Ortíz
80
Fabián Ángel
25
Deiber Caicedo
28
Guillermo Celis
29
Teófilo Gutiérrez
22
Jesús Rivas
10
Luis Muriel

Substitutes

BC
Brayan Castrillón
#88 · SUB
CP
Carlos Pérez
#16 · SUB
JD
Juan David Rios
#14 · SUB
FF
Francisco Fydriszewski
#19 · SUB
HR
Harold Rivera
#7 · SUB
JA
Jaime Acosta
#12 · SUB
GP
Guillermo Paiva
#9 · SUB
DS
Daniel Socarras
#34 · SUB
KP
Kevin Pérez
#18 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.

Atlético Bucaramanga 3-1 Atlético Junior: result and analysis | MBet AI