Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 03:05Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Medellín v Millonarios in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

Share

MBet statistical model

Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Medellín (37%)

Large sample · 12/12 matches
1 · Independiente Medellín
37%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Millonarios
35%

Expected goals

Independiente Medellín 1.25 · Millonarios 1.21

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 12 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

Share

Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente Medellín went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8.
  • Millonarios went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Independiente Medellín have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Millonarios have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Millonarios's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

Last 6 matches

WWLDWL

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

10-8

Goals

  • L27 SeptAtlético Junior2-0Independiente Medellín
  • W23 SeptIndependiente Medellín2-1Jaguares de Córdoba
  • D18 SeptAtlético Bucaramanga2-2Independiente Medellín
  • L13 SeptBoyacá Chicó FC2-1Independiente Medellín
  • W4 SeptDeportivo Pereira0-3Independiente Medellín
  • W30 AugIndependiente Medellín2-1Llaneros FC
Millonarios

Millonarios

Last 6 matches

LDDWWD

2

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

10-7

Goals

  • D25 SeptAtlético Nacional1-1Millonarios
  • W19 SeptMillonarios3-0Boyacá Chicó FC
  • W14 SeptCúcuta Deportivo1-2Millonarios
  • D11 SeptMillonarios1-1Deportivo Cali
  • D7 SeptDeportivo Pereira1-1Millonarios
  • L3 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe3-2Millonarios

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1
25
Eder Chaux
30
Hayen Palacios
26
Esneyder Mena
39
Luis Escorcia
19
Alfonso Simarra
6
Didier Moreno
11
Yony González
14
Baldomero Perlaza
21
Agustín Martegani
20
John Montaño
32
Carlos Gonzalez

Substitutes

AD
Andrés Dávila
#28 · SUB
JC
Jaidinson Córdoba
#47 · SUB
KM
Kevin Mantilla
#4 · SUB
DC
Daniel Cataño
#10 · SUB
JV
Joaquín Varela
#5 · SUB
HV
Heider Vallecilla
#80 · SUB
NE
Nivaldo Erazo
#24 · SUB
DM
Diego Moreno
#31 · SUB
SI
Salvador Ichazo
#1 · SUB
Millonarios

Millonarios

4-1-3-2
1
Javier Burrai
30
Sebastián Del Castillo
20
Danovis Banguero
4
Jaine Barreiro
17
Jorge Arias
13
Francisco Chaverra
28
Stiven Vega
7
Juan Cuadrado
55
Leonai
23
Leonardo Castro
10
Daniel Ruíz

Substitutes

SV
Sebastián Valencia
#22
SM
Sebastián Mosquera
#35
DQ
Darwin Quintero
#25
JA
James Aguirre
#12
CU
Cristian Uparela
#43
JA
Julián Angulo
#24
AL
Andres Llinas
#26
DS
David Silva
#14
AE
Andrey Estupiñán
#11

MBet España · Telegram

Free daily analysis on Telegram

Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.

18+ · Gamble responsibly

Join for free

Keep browsing

More Colombian Primera A matches

MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.