Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Friday, 9 October 2026 at 01:05Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagüí, Itagui

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlético Nacional v Deportes Tolima in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético Nacional (57%)

Medium sample · 10/14 matches
1 · Atlético Nacional
57%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Deportes Tolima
19%

Expected goals

Atlético Nacional 1.82 · Deportes Tolima 0.96

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlético Nacional went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7.
  • Deportes Tolima went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Atlético Nacional have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Deportes Tolima have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Atlético Nacional's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Deportes Tolima's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional

Last 6 matches

WWWLDW

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

14-7

Goals

  • W1 OctAtlético Nacional3-1Atlético Junior
  • D25 SeptAtlético Nacional1-1Millonarios
  • L21 SeptLlaneros FC2-0Atlético Nacional
  • W17 SeptInternacional de Bogotá2-3Atlético Nacional
  • W13 SeptAtlético Nacional2-0Águilas Doradas
  • W30 AugAlianza FC1-5Atlético Nacional
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Last 6 matches

WLLDDD

1

Wins

3

Draws

2

Losses

5-6

Goals

  • D3 OctDeportes Tolima0-0Boyacá Chicó FC
  • D28 SeptFortaleza CEIF2-2Deportes Tolima
  • D21 SeptDeportes Tolima1-1América de Cali
  • L17 SeptOnce Caldas1-0Deportes Tolima
  • L12 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe1-0Deportes Tolima
  • W8 SeptLlaneros FC1-2Deportes Tolima

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional

4-2-3-1
34
Franco Armani
6
Andres Román
20
Milton Casco
3
Neider Parra
4
César Haydar
22
Elías Cabrera
27
Yaicar Perlaza
21
Jorman Campuzano
23
James Rodríguez
10
Edwin Cardona
99
Ian Poveda-Ocampo

Substitutes

EB
Emanuel Benitez
#32 · SUB
XR
Xavi Rios
#31 · SUB
AM
Andrés Marín
#26 · SUB
JZ
Juan Zapata
#80 · SUB
JM
Juan Manuel Rengifo
#19 · SUB
LM
Luis Marquinez
#25 · SUB
MU
Mateus Uribe
#8 · SUB
SV
Samuel Velásquez
#33 · SUB
KP
Kevin Parra
#30 · SUB
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

4-2-3-1
1
Neto
33
Jherson Mosquera
30
Shean Barbosa
14
Homer Martínez
2
Anderson Angulo
80
Brayan Rovira
8
Ever Valencia
20
Junior Hernández
32
Sebastián Guzmán
10
Luis Sánchez
15
Sergio Aguayo

Substitutes

JM
Juan Mera
#5 · SUB
EL
Edwar López
#28 · SUB
GM
Gustavo Moreno
#34 · SUB
NS
Néifer Sánchez
#29 · SUB
VR
Victor Reyes
#16 · SUB
JV
Jader Valencia
#11 · SUB
LS
Luis Sandoval
#9 · SUB
AP
Adrián Parra
#24 · SUB
MO
Miguel Ortega
#13 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.