Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 21:00Departamental Libertad, Pasto

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Deportivo Pasto v Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Deportivo Pasto (39%)

Medium sample · 11/11 matches
1 · Deportivo Pasto
39%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Fortaleza CEIF
33%

Expected goals

Deportivo Pasto 1.38 · Fortaleza CEIF 1.24

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Deportivo Pasto went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11.
  • Fortaleza CEIF went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
  • At home, Deportivo Pasto have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Fortaleza CEIF have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Deportivo Pasto's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Fortaleza CEIF's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Last 6 matches

LDLWWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

6-11

Goals

  • L26 SeptBoyacá Chicó FC3-0Deportivo Pasto
  • W20 SeptDeportivo Pasto1-0Once Caldas
  • W15 SeptAmérica de Cali0-1Deportivo Pasto
  • L10 SeptDeportivo Pasto1-4Independiente Medellín
  • D6 SeptCúcuta Deportivo2-2Deportivo Pasto
  • L1 SeptDeportivo Pasto1-2Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza CEIF

Fortaleza CEIF

Last 6 matches

DLDDLD

0

Wins

4

Draws

2

Losses

8-12

Goals

  • D28 SeptFortaleza CEIF2-2Deportes Tolima
  • L20 SeptFortaleza CEIF1-4Atlético Junior
  • D12 SeptJaguares de Córdoba2-2Fortaleza CEIF
  • D6 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe2-2Fortaleza CEIF
  • L2 SeptFortaleza CEIF1-2Once Caldas
  • D26 AugBoyacá Chicó FC0-0Fortaleza CEIF

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

4-4-2
12
Geovanni Banguera
33
Juan Garavito
27
Hervin Goyes
2
Fainer Torijano
5
Nicolás Gil
25
Franco Leys
10
Diego Chavez
8
Enrique Serje
7
Jonathan Perlaza
19
Patrick Preciado
18
Joider Micolta

Substitutes

EC
Ederson Cabezas
#1 · SUB
MP
Matías Pisano
#32 · SUB
TB
Tomás Blandón Vélez
#28 · SUB
JO
Joyce Ossa
#3 · SUB
JM
John Méndez
#17 · SUB
AF
Andrés Felipe Ibargüen
#11 · SUB
KD
Kevin Daniel Santacruz Andrade
#24 · SUB
HM
Harrinson Mancilla
#15 · SUB
DO
Derik Osede
#21 · SUB
Fortaleza CEIF

Fortaleza CEIF

4-1-4-1
1
Williams Barlasina
16
Joan Cajares
15
Santiago Cuero
6
Yesid Díaz
5
Jeferson Medina
13
Brandón Mejía
32
Mariano Vazquez
8
Sebastián Navarro
28
Santiago Vivas
25
Jordan García
9
Juan Sebastian Herrera

Substitutes

FP
Franco Pulicastro
#19 · SUB
KB
Kevin Balanta
#17 · SUB
LP
Leonardo Pico
#14 · SUB
AC
Andrés Copete
#2 · SUB
CS
Cristian Santander
#12 · SUB
ÍM
Ítalo Montaño
#7 · SUB
JS
Julio Sinisterra
#27 · SUB
EC
Edwin Cabezas
#4 · SUB
JS
Jhonier Salas
#24 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.