Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs TOP Oss: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on De Graafschap v TOP Oss in the Eerste Divisie.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
De Graafschap vs TOP Oss prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: De Graafschap have a slight edge (40% against 35%) and the draw sits at 25%. It expects 1.6 goals from De Graafschap and 1.5 from TOP Oss: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 59%). Both teams to score: yes at 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: De Graafschap (40%)
Large sample · 13/14 matches- 1 · De Graafschap
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · TOP Oss
- 35%
Expected goals
De Graafschap 1.65 · TOP Oss 1.54
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| De Graafschap to score | 75% |
| TOP Oss to score | 73% |
| De Graafschap or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| De Graafschap wins and over 2.5 | 28% |
| De Graafschap (draw no bet) | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 11% |
Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- De Graafschap come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8.
- TOP Oss come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10.
- At home, De Graafschap have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, TOP Oss have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In De Graafschap's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In TOP Oss's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, De Graafschap are 15th and TOP Oss 16th (15 and 14 points). De Graafschap sit 1 place higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
De Graafschap
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
8-8
Goals
- W30 OctFC Volendam1-2De Graafschap
- L27 OctRoda JC Kerkrade1-0De Graafschap
- D23 OctDe Graafschap1-1RKC Waalwijk
- L19 OctJong Ajax2-1De Graafschap
- W9 OctDe Graafschap2-1Jong FC Utrecht
- D3 OctFC Eindhoven2-2De Graafschap
TOP Oss
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
10-10
Goals
- D6 NovTOP Oss1-1RKC Waalwijk
- L2 NovHeracles Almelo2-0TOP Oss
- W28 OctPEC Zwolle1-2TOP Oss
- D23 OctTOP Oss3-3Jong Ajax
- L16 OctFC Den Bosch2-1TOP Oss
- W9 OctTOP Oss3-1Helmond Sport
Standings
De Graafschap
15º
Pos.
15
Pts
13
P
TOP Oss
16º
Pos.
14
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
De Graafschap
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
TOP Oss
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
De Graafschap vs TOP Oss: FAQ
What time is De Graafschap vs TOP Oss?
De Graafschap vs TOP Oss (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 20:00 (Spain time), at De Vijverberg, Doetinchem.
Who is the favourite in De Graafschap vs TOP Oss?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, De Graafschap are favourites, with a 40% chance of winning. Full split: De Graafschap 40%, draw 25%, TOP Oss 35%. Expected goals: 1.7 - 1.5.
What is the most likely De Graafschap vs TOP Oss score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (11%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs TOP Oss?
The model gives a 61% chance of both teams scoring and 59% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.