Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Helmond Sport: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Almere City v Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Almere City vs Helmond Sport prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Almere City, with a 70% chance of winning. It expects 2.7 goals from Almere City and 1.2 from Helmond Sport: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 70%). Both teams to score: yes at 62%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Model favourite: Almere City (70%)
Large sample · 14/14 matches- 1 · Almere City
- 70%
- X · Draw
- 17%
- 2 · Helmond Sport
- 14%
Expected goals
Almere City 2.74 · Helmond Sport 1.19
Most likely scores
2-1 (9%) · 3-1 (8%) · 2-0 (7%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Almere City to score | 88% |
| Almere City or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Almere City (draw no bet) | 84% |
| Almere City over 1.5 goals | 70% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Almere City wins and BTTS | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 2-1 | 9% |
Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Almere City come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7.
- Helmond Sport come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19.
- At home, Almere City have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Helmond Sport have not won any of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 4.0 conceded on average).
- In Almere City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Helmond Sport's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Almere City are 3rd and Helmond Sport 17th (28 and 12 points). Almere City sit 14 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Almere City
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
13-7
Goals
- W6 NovJong AZ1-3Almere City
- W30 OctRKC Waalwijk1-2Almere City
- W27 OctTelstar0-2Almere City
- L23 OctAlmere City2-3Roda JC Kerkrade
- L17 OctFC Emmen2-1Almere City
- W9 OctAlmere City3-0FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
13-19
Goals
- L6 NovHelmond Sport2-3FC Volendam
- W30 OctHelmond Sport3-2FC Eindhoven
- L27 OctHelmond Sport3-4Willem II
- L23 OctJong AZ5-4Helmond Sport
- L16 OctHelmond Sport0-2NAC Breda
- L9 OctTOP Oss3-1Helmond Sport
Standings
Almere City
3º
Pos.
28
Pts
14
P
Helmond Sport
17º
Pos.
12
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
Almere City
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Helmond Sport
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Almere City vs Helmond Sport: FAQ
What time is Almere City vs Helmond Sport?
Almere City vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 20:00 (Spain time), at Yanmar Stadion, Almere.
Who is the favourite in Almere City vs Helmond Sport?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Almere City are favourites, with a 70% chance of winning. Full split: Almere City 70%, draw 17%, Helmond Sport 14%. Expected goals: 2.7 - 1.2.
What is the most likely Almere City vs Helmond Sport score?
The most likely exact score is 2-1 (9%), followed by 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Almere City vs Helmond Sport?
The model gives a 62% chance of both teams scoring and 70% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.