Eerste Divisie
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on FC Dordrecht v Heracles Almelo in the Eerste Divisie.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Heracles Almelo, with a 71% chance of winning. It expects 1.3 goals from FC Dordrecht and 3.0 from Heracles Almelo: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 74%). Both teams to score: yes at 65%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Model favourite: Heracles Almelo (71%)
Large sample · 14/14 matches- 1 · FC Dordrecht
- 13%
- X · Draw
- 15%
- 2 · Heracles Almelo
- 71%
Expected goals
FC Dordrecht 1.28 · Heracles Almelo 2.99
Most likely scores
1-2 (8%) · 1-3 (8%) · 0-2 (6%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Heracles Almelo or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Heracles Almelo (draw no bet) | 84% |
| Heracles Almelo over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Heracles Almelo wins and BTTS | 45% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Correct score 1-2 | 8% |
Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- FC Dordrecht come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13.
- Heracles Almelo come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 4.
- At home, FC Dordrecht have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Heracles Almelo have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In FC Dordrecht's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Heracles Almelo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In the table, FC Dordrecht are 18th and Heracles Almelo 1st (12 and 35 points). Heracles Almelo sit 17 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
FC Dordrecht
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
7-13
Goals
- D6 NovFC Dordrecht0-0NAC Breda
- L2 NovJong FC Utrecht3-2FC Dordrecht
- L28 OctSC Genemuiden3-2FC Dordrecht
- L24 OctFC Dordrecht2-4VVV-Venlo
- W19 OctJong PSV0-1FC Dordrecht
- L9 OctFC Dordrecht0-3FC Emmen
Heracles Almelo
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
16-4
Goals
- W6 NovHeracles Almelo5-1Roda JC Kerkrade
- W2 NovHeracles Almelo2-0TOP Oss
- L29 OctDe Treffers1-0Heracles Almelo
- D23 OctNAC Breda1-1Heracles Almelo
- W18 OctMVV Maastricht1-5Heracles Almelo
- W9 OctHeracles Almelo3-0RKC Waalwijk
Standings
FC Dordrecht
18º
Pos.
12
Pts
14
P
Heracles Almelo
1º
Pos.
35
Pts
14
P
Line-ups
FC Dordrecht
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Heracles Almelo
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo: FAQ
What time is FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?
FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 20:00 (Spain time), at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht.
Who is the favourite in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Heracles Almelo are favourites, with a 71% chance of winning. Full split: FC Dordrecht 13%, draw 15%, Heracles Almelo 71%. Expected goals: 1.3 - 3.0.
What is the most likely FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo score?
The most likely exact score is 1-2 (8%), followed by 1-3 (8%) and 0-2 (6%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo?
The model gives a 65% chance of both teams scoring and 74% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.