Copa Sudamericana

· 2nd Leg - Vasco da Gama win 3-2 on aggregate

Vasco da Gama

1-0

Full-time

Independiente Medellín

Thursday, 30 July 2026 at 00:00Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vasco da Gama v Independiente Medellín in the Copa Sudamericana.

Data updated: Monday, 9 November 2026 at 07:46

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MBet statistical model

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Vasco da Gama (44%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Vasco da Gama: 44%
X · Draw: 27%
2 · Independiente Medellín: 28%

Expected goals

Vasco da Gama 1.48 · Independiente Medellín 1.14

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Vasco da Gama went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
Independiente Medellín went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7.
At home, Vasco da Gama have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
Away from home, Independiente Medellín have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 matches

WLLDD

Wins

Draws

Losses

6-5

Goals

D26 JulVasco da Gama1-1Mirassol
D23 JulIndependiente Medellín2-2Vasco da Gama
L17 JulVitória1-0Vasco da Gama
L31 MayVasco da Gama0-1Atlético-MG
W28 MayVasco da Gama3-0Barracas Central

Independiente Medellín

Last 5 matches

LDWDW

Wins

Draws

Losses

8-7

Goals

W25 JulIndependiente Medellín3-2Deportivo Pasto
D23 JulIndependiente Medellín2-2Vasco da Gama
W2 JunIndependiente Medellín2-1Cúcuta Deportivo
D30 MayItagüí Leones1-1Independiente Medellín
L27 MayEstudiantes de La Plata1-0Independiente Medellín

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Vasco da Gama

4-2-3-1

Léo Jardim

Paulo Henrique

Lucas Piton

Carlos Cuesta

Robert

Tchê Tchê

Andrés Gómez

Thiago Mendes

Ramon Rique

Nuno Moreira

Claudio Spinelli

Substitutes

Brenner

#20 · SUB

Adson

#28 · SUB

Alan Saldivia

#4 · SUB

Johan Rojas

#10 · SUB

Lucas Freitas

#43 · SUB

Cuiabano

#66 · SUB

Marino Hinestroza

#18 · SUB

José Luis Rodríguez

#2 · SUB

Daniel Fuzato

#13 · SUB

David

#7 · SUB

Jair

#8 · SUB

#98 · SUB

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1

Eder Chaux

Esneyder Mena

Jhan Mena

Kevin Mantilla

Joaquín Varela

Didier Moreno

Juan Córdoba

Halam Loboa

Agustín Martegani

John Montaño

Jeison Medina

Substitutes

Yony González

#11 · SUB

Keiner Klinger

#34 · SUB

Alfonso Simarra

#19 · SUB

Baldomero Perlaza

#14 · SUB

Luis Escorcia

#39 · SUB

Diego Moreno

#31 · SUB

Simón Romero

#12 · SUB

Daniel Cataño

#10 · SUB

Salvador Ichazo

#1 · SUB

Hayen Palacios

#30 · SUB

Head-to-head

Independiente Medellín

2 - 2

23 Jul

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín: FAQ

What was the Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín score?

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín (Copa Sudamericana) finished 1-0: Vasco da Gama won. It was played on Thursday 30 July at Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.