Copa Sudamericana
· 1st Leg
Bolívar vs Grêmio: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Bolívar v Grêmio in the Copa Sudamericana.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Bolívar vs Grêmio prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: Bolívar (48%)
Small sample · 5/5 matches- 1 · Bolívar
- 48%
- X · Draw
- 24%
- 2 · Grêmio
- 28%
Expected goals
Bolívar 1.85 · Grêmio 1.40
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (7%)
Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Bolívar went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9.
- Grêmio went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9.
- At home, Bolívar have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
- In Bolívar's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
- In Grêmio's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Bolívar
Last 5 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
9-9
Goals
- W18 JulBolívar4-0Guabirá
- D12 JulThe Strongest1-1Bolívar
- L28 MayBolívar1-3Independiente Rivadavia
- L20 MayFluminense2-1Bolívar
- L16 MayUniversitario de Vinto3-2Bolívar

Grêmio
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
9-9
Goals
- L18 JulMirassol2-1Grêmio
- L30 MayGrêmio1-3Corinthians
- D27 MayGrêmio2-2Montevideo City Torque
- W24 MayGrêmio3-2Santos
- W21 MayGrêmio2-0Palestino
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

Bolívar
Substitutes

Grêmio
Substitutes
MBet España · Telegram
Free daily analysis on Telegram
Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Keep browsing
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Nacional vs Tigre
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at 00:00
UCV FC vs Santos
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at 02:30
Independiente Medellín vs Vasco da Gama
Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 00:00
Sporting Cristal vs Red Bull Bragantino
Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 02:30
Lanús vs Cienciano del Cusco
Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 02:30
Boca Juniors vs O'Higgins
Friday, 24 July 2026 at 02:30
MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.