Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana

0-3

Full-time
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at 00:00Gran Parque Central, Montevideo

Nacional vs Tigre: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Nacional v Tigre in the Copa Sudamericana.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Nacional vs Tigre prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Nacional (36%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Nacional
36%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Tigre
34%

Expected goals

Nacional 1.17 · Tigre 1.14

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Nacional went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6.
  • Tigre went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Nacional have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Tigre have not won any of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Nacional's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Tigre's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Nacional

Nacional

Last 5 matches

WLWDL

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

4-6

Goals

  • L18 JulNacional1-2Montevideo Wanderers
  • D11 JulDanubio0-0Nacional
  • W6 JunNacional2-1Juventud
  • L31 MayDeportivo Maldonado3-0Nacional
  • W27 MayNacional1-0Coquimbo Unido
Tigre

Tigre

Last 5 matches

DDDWL

1

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

6-5

Goals

  • L12 JulIndependiente Rivadavia1-0Tigre
  • W29 MayTigre2-0Alianza Atlético
  • D20 MayAmérica de Cali1-1Tigre
  • D7 MayMacará2-2Tigre
  • D3 MayRosario Central1-1Tigre

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Nacional

Nacional

4-1-2-1-2
22
Alexis Martín Arias
13
Emiliano Ancheta
21
Camilo Cándido
4
Sebastián Coates
5
Francisco Calvo
36
Bruno Zuculini
30
Mateo Barcia
6
Luciano Boggio
10
Agustín Dos Santos
9
Maxi Gómez
11
Maximiliano Silvera

Substitutes

JS
Juan Santos
#19 · SUB
LM
Luis Mejía
#1 · SUB
PN
Pavel Núñez
#18 · SUB
PC
Paolo Calione
#15 · SUB
LR
Lucas Rodríguez
#23 · SUB
BN
Benjamín Núñez Barolin
#24 · SUB
AR
Agustin Rogel
#2 · SUB
TV
Tomás Verón Lupi
#27 · SUB
KM
Kevin Martínez
#31 · SUB
TC
Tiziano Correa
#29 · SUB
NL
Nicolás Lodeiro
#14 · SUB
JG
Juan García
#56 · SUB
Tigre

Tigre

4-4-1-1
12
Felipe Zenobio
4
Valentin Moreno
3
Nahuel Banegas
2
Joaquín Laso
20
Alan Barrionuevo
30
Jalil Elías
10
Jabes Saralegui
5
Bruno Leyes
22
Santiago López
29
Ignacio Russo
28
Gonzalo Martínez

Substitutes

AO
Alfio Oviedo
#19 · SUB
JV
Juan Villalba
#32 · SUB
IP
Ignacio Peluffo
#50 · SUB
LM
Luciano Minniti
#40 · SUB
LF
Luka Fuster
#1 · SUB
SG
Santiago González
#27 · SUB
EC
Elías Cabrera
#33 · SUB
SM
Sebastián Medina
#21 · SUB
GS
Guillermo Soto
#17 · SUB
TS
Tiago Serrago
#11 · SUB
HG
Hector Garay
#8 · SUB
FÁ
Federico Álvarez
#24 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.