Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana

Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 00:00Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellín vs Vasco da Gama: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Medellín v Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Independiente Medellín vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Medellín (52%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Independiente Medellín
52%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Vasco da Gama
22%

Expected goals

Independiente Medellín 1.63 · Vasco da Gama 1.00

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente Medellín went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8.
  • Away from home, Vasco da Gama have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

Last 5 matches

DWLDW

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

7-6

Goals

  • W2 JunIndependiente Medellín2-1Cúcuta Deportivo
  • D30 MayItagüí Leones1-1Independiente Medellín
  • L27 MayEstudiantes de La Plata1-0Independiente Medellín
  • W21 MayCusco FC2-3Independiente Medellín
  • D16 MayOrsomarso SC1-1Independiente Medellín
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 matches

LLWLL

1

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

4-8

Goals

  • L17 JulVitória1-0Vasco da Gama
  • L31 MayVasco da Gama0-1Atlético-MG
  • W28 MayVasco da Gama3-0Barracas Central
  • L25 MayVasco da Gama0-3Red Bull Bragantino
  • L21 MayClub Olimpia3-1Vasco da Gama

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1
25
Eder Chaux
26
Esneyder Mena
13
Jhan Mena
4
Kevin Mantilla
5
Joaquín Varela
6
Didier Moreno
70
Juan Córdoba
16
Halam Loboa
21
Agustín Martegani
20
John Montaño
11
Yony González

Substitutes

KK
Keiner Klinger
#34 · SUB
SI
Salvador Ichazo
#1 · SUB
SR
Simón Romero
#12 · SUB
DM
Diego Moreno
#31 · SUB
DC
Daniel Cataño
#10 · SUB
BP
Baldomero Perlaza
#14 · SUB
JM
Jeison Medina
#9 · SUB
LE
Luis Escorcia
#39 · SUB
AS
Alfonso Simarra
#19 · SUB
HP
Hayen Palacios
#30 · SUB
GM
Gerónimo Mancilla
#17 · SUB
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-2-3-1
1
Léo Jardim
2
José Luis Rodríguez
66
Cuiabano
46
Carlos Cuesta
30
Robert
23
Thiago Mendes
28
Adson
88
Cauan Barros
17
Nuno Moreira
11
Andrés Gómez
20
Brenner

Substitutes

PH
Paulo Henrique
#96 · SUB
JR
Johan Rojas
#10 · SUB
MH
Marino Hinestroza
#18 · SUB
CS
Claudio Spinelli
#77 · SUB
RR
Ramon Rique
#83 · SUB
TT
Tchê Tchê
#3 · SUB
J
Jair
#8 · SUB
LF
Lucas Freitas
#43 · SUB
LP
Lucas Piton
#6 · SUB
J
JP
#98 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB
D
David
#7 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.