Copa Sudamericana
· 1st Leg
Independiente Medellín vs Vasco da Gama: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Medellín v Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Independiente Medellín vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Medellín (52%)
Small sample · 5/5 matches- 1 · Independiente Medellín
- 52%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Vasco da Gama
- 22%
Expected goals
Independiente Medellín 1.63 · Vasco da Gama 1.00
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (10%)
Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Independiente Medellín went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
- Vasco da Gama went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8.
- Away from home, Vasco da Gama have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
- In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Medellín
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
7-6
Goals
- W2 JunIndependiente Medellín2-1Cúcuta Deportivo
- D30 MayItagüí Leones1-1Independiente Medellín
- L27 MayEstudiantes de La Plata1-0Independiente Medellín
- W21 MayCusco FC2-3Independiente Medellín
- D16 MayOrsomarso SC1-1Independiente Medellín

Vasco da Gama
Last 5 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
4-8
Goals
- L17 JulVitória1-0Vasco da Gama
- L31 MayVasco da Gama0-1Atlético-MG
- W28 MayVasco da Gama3-0Barracas Central
- L25 MayVasco da Gama0-3Red Bull Bragantino
- L21 MayClub Olimpia3-1Vasco da Gama
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Medellín
Substitutes

Vasco da Gama
Substitutes
MBet España · Telegram
Free daily analysis on Telegram
Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Keep browsing
More Copa Sudamericana matches
Nacional vs Tigre
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at 00:00
UCV FC vs Santos
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at 02:30
Lanús vs Cienciano del Cusco
Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 02:30
Sporting Cristal vs Red Bull Bragantino
Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 02:30
Bolívar vs Grêmio
Friday, 24 July 2026 at 00:00
Independiente Santa Fe vs Caracas FC
Friday, 24 July 2026 at 02:30
MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.