Nations League

Nations League

4-0

Full-time
Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 18:00Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest

Belarus vs San Marino: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Belarus v San Marino in the Nations League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Belarus vs San Marino prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Belarus (65%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Belarus
65%
X · Draw
21%
2 · San Marino
15%

Expected goals

Belarus 2.14 · San Marino 0.93

Most likely scores

2-0 (11%) · 2-1 (10%) · 1-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Belarus went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6.
  • San Marino went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 14.
  • At home, Belarus have won 1 of their last 2 matches (3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Belarus's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In San Marino's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Belarus

Belarus

Last 5 matches

WWDLD

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

8-6

Goals

  • D29 SeptFinland0-0Belarus
  • L26 SeptAlbania2-0Belarus
  • D9 JunBelarus2-2Burkina Faso
  • W5 JunBelarus4-1Syria
  • W29 MarArmenia1-2Belarus
San Marino

San Marino

Last 5 matches

DLLLL

0

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

2-14

Goals

  • L29 SeptSan Marino0-3Albania
  • L26 SeptSan Marino0-7Finland
  • L9 JunAzerbaijan2-1San Marino
  • L5 JunSan Marino1-2Bangladesh
  • D31 MarSan Marino0-0Andorra

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Belarus

Belarus

4-2-3-1
1
Pavel Pavlyuchenko
6
Roman Begunov
2
Kirill Pechenin
20
Zakhar Volkov
13
Kirill Gomanov
14
Evgeni Yablonski
22
Artem Kontsevoy
9
Max Ebong
10
Valeri Gromyko
8
Timofey Simanenka
23
Trofim Melnichenko

Substitutes

VL
Vitali Lisakovic
#17 · SUB
AL
Anton Lukashov
#19 · SUB
EM
Evgeni Malashevich
#18 · SUB
AS
Artem Shumanskiy
#7 · SUB
VB
Valeri Bocherov
#4 · SUB
AK
Anton Kovalev
#16 · SUB
IT
Ivan Tikhomirov
#3 · SUB
GB
German Barkovskiy
#11 · SUB
DG
Daniil Galyata
#15 · SUB
VK
Vladislav Kalinin
#5 · SUB
FL
Fedor Lapoukhov
#21 · SUB
AK
Andrey Kudravets
#12 · SUB
San Marino

San Marino

4-1-3-2
1
Edoardo Colombo
2
Giacomo Benvenuti
3
Simone Giocondi
5
Michele Cevoli
15
Marco Pasolini
17
Alessandro Golinucci
21
Lorenzo Lazzari
10
Samuele Zannoni
8
Lorenzo Capicchioni
9
Nicola Nanni
11
Nicolas Giacopetti

Substitutes

DR
Dante Rossi
#6
MM
Marcello Mularoni
#22
MD
Mirco De Angelis
#23
FS
Fausto Salicioni
#14
NP
Nicholas Protti
#7
FF
Filippo Fabbri
#4
LH
Lyes Hoël
#13
CM
Cristian Meloni
#16
AT
Alessandro Tosi
#12
ED
Enea Della Balda
#18
GB
Giulio Bugli
#20
SP
Samuel Pancotti
#19

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.