Brasileirão

1-1

Full-time

Bahia

Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 02:00Estádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira), Santos

Santos vs Bahia: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Santos v Bahia in the Brasileirão.

Data updated: Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 15:33

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MBet statistical model

Santos vs Bahia prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Santos (50%)

Large sample · 19/14 matches

1 · Santos: 50%
X · Draw: 25%
2 · Bahia: 25%

Expected goals

Santos 1.75 · Bahia 1.20

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (10%) · 1-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 19 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Santos went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11.
Bahia went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9.
Away from home, Bahia have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
In Santos's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
In Bahia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Santos

Last 6 matches

LWWDLW

Wins

Draws

Losses

11-11

Goals

W18 OctFluminense1-2Santos
L11 OctAtlético-MG2-1Santos
D9 OctSantos2-2Flamengo
W3 OctSão Paulo1-2Santos
W19 SeptRemo1-2Santos
L17 SeptAtlético-MG4-2Santos

Bahia

Last 6 matches

WWLLWL

Wins

Draws

Losses

7-9

Goals

L18 OctBahia0-3Flamengo
W12 OctBahia1-0Mirassol
L9 OctPalmeiras1-0Bahia
L21 SeptAthletico-PR2-1Bahia
W15 SeptBahia2-1Remo
W5 SeptRed Bull Bragantino2-3Bahia

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Santos

4-2-3-1

Diogenes

Rodinei

Álvaro Barreal

João Alencar

Luan Peres

Gabriel Bontempo

Everton

Gustavo Henrique

Philippe Coutinho

Neymar

Gabriel Barbosa

Substitutes

João Schmidt

#5 · SUB

Christian Oliva

#28 · SUB

João Ananias

#26 · SUB

Lima

#45 · SUB

Rafael Gonzaga

#38 · SUB

Benjamín Rollheiser

#32 · SUB

Rony

#33 · SUB

João Paulo

#34 · SUB

Igor

#18 · SUB

Miguel Terceros

#30 · SUB

Gustavo Caballero

#17 · SUB

Gabriel Menino

#25 · SUB

Bahia

4-3-3

Ronaldo

Marcos Victor

Luciano Juba

David Duarte

Kanu

Nicolás Acevedo

Erick

Rodrigo Nestor

Alejo Veliz

Cristian Olivera

Erick Pulga

Substitutes

Ademir

#7 · SUB

ÉR

Éverton Ribeiro

#10 · SUB

Wendel Passos

#67 · SUB

Guido Herrera

#17 · SUB

Michel Araújo

#15 · SUB

Mateo Sanabria

#23 · SUB

Willian José

#12 · SUB

Everaldo

#27 · SUB

Marco Moreno

#3 · SUB

Ruan Pablo

#77 · SUB

Caio Alexandre

#8 · SUB

Zé Guilherme

#66 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.