Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 02:00Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, Sao Paulo

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on São Paulo v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Vasco da Gama (37%)

Large sample · 16/18 matches
1 · São Paulo
31%
X · Draw
31%
2 · Vasco da Gama
37%

Expected goals

São Paulo 1.00 · Vasco da Gama 1.12

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 0-0 (13%) · 0-1 (13%)

Based on goals from each team's last 18 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • São Paulo went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5.
  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 1.
  • At home, São Paulo have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Vasco da Gama have won 2 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • In São Paulo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, and both teams scored in 2 of 4.
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, and both teams scored in 1 of 4.
  • In the table, São Paulo are 8th and Vasco da Gama 15th (42 and 35 points). São Paulo sit 7 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

São Paulo

São Paulo

Last 4 matches

WLLW

2

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

4-5

Goals

  • W11 OctSão Paulo2-1Vitória
  • L8 OctCruzeiro2-0São Paulo
  • L3 OctSão Paulo1-2Santos
  • W20 SeptSão Paulo1-0Internacional
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 4 matches

WWDW

3

Wins

1

Draws

0

Losses

8-1

Goals

  • W14 OctBoca Juniors0-1Vasco da Gama
  • D10 OctVasco da Gama0-0Remo
  • W8 OctBotafogo1-2Vasco da Gama
  • W20 SeptVasco da Gama5-0Coritiba

Standings

São Paulo

São Paulo

8º

Pos.

42

Pts

31

P

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

15º

Pos.

35

Pts

30

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

São Paulo

São Paulo

3-4-2-1
23
Rafael
2
Rafael Tolói
5
Robert Arboleda
28
Newton
32
Pedro Lima
12
Iago
8
Marcos Antonio
16
Damián Bobadilla
9
Jonathan Calleri
10
Luciano
37
Artur

Substitutes

LR
Lucas Ramon
#19 · SUB
CC
Carlos Coronel
#31 · SUB
JV
Joao Victor
#27 · SUB
W
Wendell
#18 · SUB
LM
Lucca Marques
#45 · SUB
LO
Luis Osorio
#54 · SUB
LM
Lucas Moura
#7 · SUB
PF
Pedro Ferreira
#46 · SUB
RF
Ryan Francisco
#49 · SUB
PM
Pablo Maia
#29 · SUB
GS
Gustavo Santana
#43 · SUB
S
Sabino
#35 · SUB
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-2-3-1
1
Léo Jardim
96
Paulo Henrique
66
Cuiabano
55
Gabriel Pereira
30
Robert
5
Santiago Sosa
11
Andrés Gómez
3
Tchê Tchê
22
Alan Lescano
9
Facundo Colidio
19
Bruno Duarte

Substitutes

B
Brenner
#20 · SUB
J
Jair
#8 · SUB
L
Loide
#45 · SUB
LF
Lucas Freitas
#43 · SUB
D
David
#7 · SUB
RR
Ramon Rique
#83 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB
TM
Thiago Mendes
#23 · SUB
AS
Alan Saldivia
#4 · SUB
LP
Lucas Piton
#6 · SUB
JL
José Luis Rodríguez
#2 · SUB
A
Adson
#28 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.