Brasileirão

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Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 22:30Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo vs Fluminense: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Flamengo v Fluminense in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Flamengo (53%)

Large sample · 16/15 matches
1 · Flamengo
53%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Fluminense
22%

Expected goals

Flamengo 1.67 · Fluminense 0.99

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Flamengo went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5.
  • Fluminense went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Flamengo have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Fluminense have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Flamengo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Fluminense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Flamengo

Flamengo

Last 6 matches

WWWDWD

4

Wins

2

Draws

0

Losses

10-5

Goals

  • D9 OctSantos2-2Flamengo
  • W20 SeptFlamengo2-1Red Bull Bragantino
  • D18 SeptFlamengo1-1Independiente del Valle
  • W13 SeptFlamengo2-1Corinthians
  • W11 SeptIndependiente del Valle0-2Flamengo
  • W6 SeptRemo0-1Flamengo
Fluminense

Fluminense

Last 6 matches

WWLLWW

4

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

12-6

Goals

  • W9 OctFluminense4-0Coritiba
  • W20 SeptCorinthians1-3Fluminense
  • L16 SeptPlatense2-1Fluminense
  • L12 SeptAtlético-MG3-1Fluminense
  • W9 SeptFluminense2-0Platense
  • W6 SeptFluminense1-0Vasco da Gama

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Flamengo

Flamengo

4-2-3-1
1
Agustín Rossi
2
Guillermo Varela
26
Alex Sandro
3
Léo Ortiz
4
Léo Pereira
8
Saúl Ñíguez
15
Jorge Carrascal
5
Erick Pulgar
11
Lucas Paquetá
16
Samuel Lino
9
Pedro

Substitutes

DA
Dyogo Alves
#49 · SUB
BH
Bruno Henrique
#27 · SUB
A
Andrew
#42 · SUB
JG
Johnny Góes
#77 · SUB
GP
Gonzalo Plata
#19 · SUB
ND
Nicolás de la Cruz
#18 · SUB
V
Vitão
#44 · SUB
LA
Luiz Araújo
#7 · SUB
ER
Emerson Royal
#22 · SUB
D
Danilo
#13 · SUB
JF
Joaquin Freitas
#30 · SUB
AV
Anthony Valencia
#14 · SUB
Fluminense

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
1
Fábio
2
Samuel Xavier
13
Guilherme Arana
4
Ignácio
29
Julian Millan
8
Martinelli
17
Agustín Canobbio
16
Nonato
32
Luciano Acosta
30
Yeferson Soteldo
19
Rodrigo Castillo

Substitutes

H
Hércules
#35 · SUB
G
Ganso
#10 · SUB
WN
Wesley Natã
#34 · SUB
IR
Igor Rabello
#21 · SUB
O
Otávio
#94 · SUB
TS
Thiago Silva
#3 · SUB
VE
Vitor Eudes
#98 · SUB
JS
Jefferson Savarino
#11 · SUB
JF
Juan Freytes
#22 · SUB
G
Guga
#23 · SUB
KS
Kevin Serna
#90 · SUB
H
Hulk
#7 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.