Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 01:00Neo Química Arena, Sao Paulo

Corinthians vs Vitória: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Corinthians v Vitória in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Corinthians vs Vitória prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Corinthians (43%)

Large sample · 16/13 matches
1 · Corinthians
43%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Vitória
27%

Expected goals

Corinthians 1.31 · Vitória 0.98

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 16 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Corinthians went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13.
  • Vitória went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9.
  • At home, Corinthians have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Vitória have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Corinthians's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Vitória's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Corinthians

Corinthians

Last 6 matches

DLLLLL

0

Wins

1

Draws

5

Losses

5-13

Goals

  • L11 OctPalmeiras4-1Corinthians
  • L8 OctInternacional2-1Corinthians
  • L20 SeptCorinthians1-3Fluminense
  • L17 SeptCorinthians0-1Estudiantes de La Plata
  • L13 SeptFlamengo2-1Corinthians
  • D10 SeptEstudiantes de La Plata1-1Corinthians
Vitória

Vitória

Last 6 matches

LWDLWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

10-9

Goals

  • L11 OctSão Paulo2-1Vitória
  • W8 OctVitória4-0Chapecoense
  • L20 SeptVitória1-3Cruzeiro
  • D13 SeptMirassol2-2Vitória
  • W8 SeptVitória1-0Grêmio
  • L29 AugAtlético-MG2-1Vitória

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Corinthians

Corinthians

4-2-3-1
1
Hugo Souza
2
Mateuzinho
26
Fabrizio Angileri
3
Gabriel Paulista
13
Gustavo Henrique
7
Breno Bidon
11
Vitinho
49
André
8
Rodrigo Garro
77
Jesse Lingard
9
Yuri Alberto

Substitutes

A
Allan
#29 · SUB
AC
André Carrillo
#19 · SUB
K
Kaio
#37 · SUB
PR
Pedro Raúl
#18 · SUB
MB
Matheus Bidu
#21 · SUB
GN
Gui Negão
#56 · SUB
JP
João Pedro
#4 · SUB
KC
Kauê Camargo
#51 · SUB
PM
Pedro Milans
#20 · SUB
AR
André Ramalho
#5 · SUB
D
Dieguinho
#61 · SUB
C
Charles
#35 · SUB
Vitória

Vitória

4-1-4-1
1
Lucas Arcanjo
98
Matheusinho
83
Jamerson
2
Emanuel Britez
36
Luan Cândido
6
Emmanuel Martínez
33
Erick
10
Matheus
95
Caique
12
Diego Tarzia
91
Renê

Substitutes

ZV
Zé Vitor
#88 · SUB
RI
Rúben Ismael
#16 · SUB
IL
Ignacio Laquintana
#77 · SUB
L
Lucas
#20 · SUB
M
Marinho
#7 · SUB
FS
Fabrício Santos
#23 · SUB
E
Edenilson
#26 · SUB
YS
Yuri Sena
#71 · SUB
RK
Renato Kayzer
#79 · SUB
W
Walace
#15 · SUB
AB
Alex Bruno Da Costa Lima
#9 · SUB
TP
Tomás Pochettino
#8 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.