FA Cup
Gillingham vs Barrow: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Gillingham v Barrow in the FA Cup.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Gillingham vs Barrow prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Barrow have a slight edge (38% against 37%) and the draw sits at 25%. It expects 1.6 goals from Gillingham and 1.6 from Barrow: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 59%). Both teams to score: yes at 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Barrow (38%)
Small sample · 6/5 matches- 1 · Gillingham
- 37%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · Barrow
- 38%
Expected goals
Gillingham 1.59 · Barrow 1.60
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 1-2 (8%) · 2-1 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Barrow to score | 74% |
| Gillingham to score | 73% |
| Barrow or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Gillingham or draw (1X) | 62% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Barrow wins and over 2.5 | 27% |
| Barrow (draw no bet) | 50% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 11% |
Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Gillingham come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13.
- Barrow come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4.
- At home, Gillingham have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Barrow have won 3 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Gillingham's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 6 of 6.
- In Barrow's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Gillingham
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
13-13
Goals
- W31 OctShrewsbury Town1-2Gillingham
- L24 OctGillingham1-4Grimsby Town
- D20 OctGillingham1-1Port Vale
- L17 OctAccrington Stanley3-1Gillingham
- W13 OctGillingham4-3Brighton & Hove Albion U21
- W10 OctRotherham United1-4Gillingham
Barrow
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
8-4
Goals
- D31 OctBarrow1-1Eastleigh
- W27 OctFC Halifax Town2-3Barrow
- W20 OctGloucester City0-2Barrow
- D17 OctBarrow0-0Gloucester City
- W10 OctTamworth1-2Barrow
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.
Gillingham
Substitutes
Barrow
Substitutes
Gillingham vs Barrow: FAQ
What time is Gillingham vs Barrow?
Gillingham vs Barrow (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham.
Who is the favourite in Gillingham vs Barrow?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Barrow are favourites, with a 38% chance of winning. Full split: Gillingham 37%, draw 25%, Barrow 38%. Expected goals: 1.6 - 1.6.
What is the most likely Gillingham vs Barrow score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (11%), followed by 1-2 (8%) and 2-1 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Barrow?
The model gives a 61% chance of both teams scoring and 59% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.