FA Cup
Oxford City vs Leicester City: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Oxford City v Leicester City in the FA Cup.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Oxford City vs Leicester City prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Oxford City, with a 46% chance of winning. It expects 1.7 goals from Oxford City and 1.4 from Leicester City: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 57%). Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Oxford City (46%)
Small sample · 5/6 matches- 1 · Oxford City
- 46%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · Leicester City
- 30%
Expected goals
Oxford City 1.72 · Leicester City 1.35
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (7%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Oxford City to score | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Oxford City or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Leicester City to score | 69% |
| Oxford City (draw no bet) | 61% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Oxford City wins and over 2.5 | 31% |
| Leicester City or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 11% |
Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Oxford City come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5.
- Leicester City come in with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8.
- At home, Oxford City have won 1 of their last 2 matches (3.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Leicester City have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Oxford City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Leicester City's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Oxford City
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
10-5
Goals
- W17 OctTorquay United0-1Oxford City
- W3 OctOxford City6-1Enfield Town
- W19 SeptDorchester Town0-2Oxford City
- L20 AprAltrincham1-0Oxford City
- L16 AprOxford City1-3Bromley
Leicester City
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
13-8
Goals
- D31 OctLeicester City2-2Stevenage
- W27 OctLeicester City3-0Wigan Athletic
- L24 OctLuton Town2-1Leicester City
- W20 OctBromley0-4Leicester City
- W17 OctLeicester City2-1Doncaster Rovers
- L10 OctLeicester City1-3Peterborough United
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.
Oxford City
Substitutes
Leicester City
Substitutes
Oxford City vs Leicester City: FAQ
What time is Oxford City vs Leicester City?
Oxford City vs Leicester City (FA Cup) kicks off on Friday 6 November at 20:45 (Spain time), at RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford.
Who is the favourite in Oxford City vs Leicester City?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Oxford City are favourites, with a 46% chance of winning. Full split: Oxford City 46%, draw 25%, Leicester City 30%. Expected goals: 1.7 - 1.4.
What is the most likely Oxford City vs Leicester City score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (11%), followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Oxford City vs Leicester City?
The model gives a 59% chance of both teams scoring and 57% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.