FA Cup

FA Cup

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 16:00Nethermoor Park, Guiseley

Guiseley vs Sutton United: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Guiseley v Sutton United in the FA Cup.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Guiseley vs Sutton United prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Guiseley, with a 53% chance of winning. It expects 1.8 goals from Guiseley and 1.1 from Sutton United: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Guiseley (53%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Guiseley
53%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Sutton United
22%

Expected goals

Guiseley 1.75 · Sutton United 1.07

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Guiseley or draw (1X)78%
Guiseley to score76%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Guiseley (draw no bet)70%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.543%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Correct score 1-112%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Guiseley come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4.
  • Sutton United come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Guiseley have won 2 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Sutton United have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Guiseley's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Sutton United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Guiseley

Guiseley

Last 5 matches

DWWWW

4

Wins

1

Draws

0

Losses

12-4

Goals

  • W17 OctLeiston0-3Guiseley
  • W3 OctGuiseley1-0Bradford Park Avenue
  • W19 SeptHebburn Town FC1-4Guiseley
  • W8 SeptGuiseley2-1Stockton Town FC
  • D5 SeptStockton Town FC2-2Guiseley
Sutton United

Sutton United

Last 5 matches

LWLWW

3

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

7-5

Goals

  • W31 OctWorthing0-3Sutton United
  • W28 OctSutton United2-0Aldershot Town
  • L24 OctHarrogate Town3-1Sutton United
  • W17 OctSutton United1-0Truro City
  • L9 OctSutton United0-2Boreham Wood

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Guiseley

Guiseley

4-2-3-1
1
Jack Hall
2
Lucas Odunston
3
Oliver Brown
6
Lebrun Mbeka
5
Elliot Owen
4
Harrison Hopper
11
Amir Berchil
8
Charlie Staniland
7
Jack Emmett
10
Cameron Harry Wilson
9
Kallan Murphy

Substitutes

KW
Kyle White
#17 · SUB
NW
Noah Wadsworth
#19 · SUB
FM
Francis Matthew Wilfred Sinfield
#20 · SUB
PI
Paul Iggulden
#12 · SUB
WL
William Longbottom
#18 · SUB
JT
Jack Tinker
#14 · SUB
MR
Michael Roxburgh
#13 · SUB
AL
Adam Lund
#15 · SUB
JT
Jordan Thewlis
#16 · SUB
Sutton United

Sutton United

4-3-3
1
Spike Brits
12
Daniel Urpens
27
Ben Brooks
4
Alex Kirk
3
Besart Topalloj
8
Jake Taylor
10
Charlie Carter
7
Emma Osaoabe
20
Jermaine Francis
19
Joe Knight
11
Sam Folarin

Substitutes

CH
Chris Haigh
#13 · SUB
CB
Charlie Bell
#6 · SUB
WN
Will Nightingale
#5 · SUB
DO
David Ogbonna
#18 · SUB
TB
Temi Babalola
#9 · SUB
JM
Jordan Moore
#15 · SUB
BN
Brandon Njoku
#16 · SUB
BA
Bobby Amartey
#26 · SUB
OM
Omar Mussa
#14 · SUB

Guiseley vs Sutton United: FAQ

What time is Guiseley vs Sutton United?

Guiseley vs Sutton United (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November at 16:00 (Spain time), at Nethermoor Park, Guiseley.

Who is the favourite in Guiseley vs Sutton United?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Guiseley are favourites, with a 53% chance of winning. Full split: Guiseley 53%, draw 25%, Sutton United 22%. Expected goals: 1.8 - 1.1.

What is the most likely Guiseley vs Sutton United score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), followed by 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.

Will both teams score in Guiseley vs Sutton United?

The model gives a 54% chance of both teams scoring and 53% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.