Carabao Cup

Carabao Cup

Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 20:45Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool

Everton vs Newcastle United: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Everton v Newcastle United in the Carabao Cup.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Everton vs Newcastle United prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Everton (49%)

Medium sample · 10/10 matches
1 · Everton
49%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Newcastle United
25%

Expected goals

Everton 1.62 · Newcastle United 1.10

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 10 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Everton went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6.
  • Newcastle United went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10.
  • At home, Everton have won 2 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 4 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Everton's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
  • In Newcastle United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Everton

Everton

Last 6 matches

DWWDLL

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

4-6

Goals

  • L24 OctArsenal2-0Everton
  • L17 OctEverton0-2Chelsea
  • D11 OctHull City2-2Everton
  • W19 SeptEverton1-0Ipswich Town
  • W16 SeptEverton1-0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • D12 SeptTottenham Hotspur0-0Everton
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Last 6 matches

WLWLLW

3

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

7-10

Goals

  • W25 OctCrystal Palace0-2Newcastle United
  • L17 OctNewcastle United0-1Aston Villa
  • L12 OctCoventry City4-1Newcastle United
  • W19 SeptNewcastle United2-1Hull City
  • L14 SeptLeeds United4-1Newcastle United
  • W8 SeptMillwall0-1Newcastle United

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Everton

Everton

4-2-3-1
1
Jordan Pickford
34
Merlin Röhl
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
6
James Tarkowski
15
Jake O'Brien
37
James Garner
20
Tyler Dibling
30
Hayden Hackney
8
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
19
Tyrique George
11
Thierno Barry

Substitutes

BG
Braiden Graham
#58 · SUB
MK
Michael Keane
#5 · SUB
CA
Charly Alcaraz
#24 · SUB
TK
Tom King
#31 · SUB
AM
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
#2 · SUB
HA
Harrison Armstrong
#45 · SUB
MT
Mark Travers
#12 · SUB
CN
Christian Nørgaard
#23 · SUB
BJ
Brennan Johnson
#22 · SUB
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

4-2-3-1
21
Lukás Hornícek
37
Amar Dedic
3
Lewis Hall
5
Fabian Schär
33
Dan Burn
6
Nico González
23
Jacob Murphy
41
Jacob Ramsey
28
Joe Willock
11
Harvey Barnes
10
William Osula

Substitutes

YW
Yoane Wissa
#9 · SUB
SS
Sean Steur
#14 · SUB
NP
Nick Pope
#1 · SUB
MT
Malick Thiaw
#12 · SUB
J
Joelinton
#7 · SUB
AB
Aladji Bamba
#8 · SUB
BT
Bazoumana Touré
#17 · SUB
AE
Anthony Elanga
#19 · SUB
SB
Sven Botman
#4 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.