Carabao Cup
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: AFC Bournemouth (48%)
Large sample · 12/12 matches- 1 · AFC Bournemouth
- 48%
- X · Draw
- 24%
- 2 · Aston Villa
- 28%
Expected goals
AFC Bournemouth 1.83 · Aston Villa 1.36
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (7%)
Based on goals from each team's last 12 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- AFC Bournemouth went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6.
- Aston Villa went into this match with good momentum: 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6.
- At home, AFC Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 4 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Aston Villa have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In AFC Bournemouth's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
- In Aston Villa's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

AFC Bournemouth
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
12-6
Goals
- W25 OctManchester United0-3AFC Bournemouth
- W22 OctAFC Bournemouth3-0AC Milan
- W18 OctAFC Bournemouth2-0Sunderland
- W15 OctAFC Bournemouth3-0SK Sturm Graz
- L10 OctChelsea5-1AFC Bournemouth
- L20 SeptAFC Bournemouth0-1Liverpool

Aston Villa
Last 6 matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
17-6
Goals
- W24 OctAston Villa2-1Manchester City
- W21 OctAston Villa3-1Viking FK
- W17 OctNewcastle United0-1Aston Villa
- W14 OctAston Villa6-0Fenerbahce
- D10 OctAston Villa2-2Brentford
- W19 SeptTottenham Hotspur2-3Aston Villa
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

AFC Bournemouth
Substitutes

Aston Villa
Substitutes
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.