Conference League

Conference League

21:00

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Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00Skonto Stadions, Riga

Riga FC vs Jablonec: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Riga FC v Jablonec in the Conference League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Riga FC vs Jablonec prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Riga FC, with a 43% chance of winning. It expects 1.3 goals from Riga FC and 1.0 from Jablonec: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 57%). Both teams to score: yes at 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Riga FC (43%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Riga FC
43%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Jablonec
28%

Expected goals

Riga FC 1.31 · Jablonec 1.00

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (12%) · 0-0 (11%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Under 3.5 goals74%
Riga FC or draw (1X)72%
Riga FC to score68%
Over 1.5 goals64%
Riga FC (draw no bet)61%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.533%
Both teams to score: no52%
Correct score 1-114%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Riga FC come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4.
  • Jablonec come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Riga FC have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Jablonec have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Riga FC's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In Jablonec's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Riga FC

Riga FC

Last 5 matches

DWWDD

2

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

6-4

Goals

  • D22 OctPafos1-1Riga FC
  • D15 OctRiga FC1-1Kairat Almaty
  • W3 OctAris Limassol1-2Riga FC
  • W27 AugRiga FC2-1KI Klaksvik
  • D20 AugKI Klaksvik0-0Riga FC
Jablonec

Jablonec

Last 5 matches

WLWLD

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

5-5

Goals

  • D22 OctJablonec0-0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L15 OctSC Freiburg3-2Jablonec
  • W27 AugJablonec1-0Rangers
  • L20 AugRangers1-0Jablonec
  • W13 AugRigas Futbola Skola1-2Jablonec

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Riga FC

Riga FC

4-2-3-1
12
Kenan Piric
23
Maksims Tonisevs
13
Raivis Andris Jurkovskis
8
Iago Siqueira
21
Baba Musah
5
Karl Wassom
22
Meissa Diop
40
Ahmed Ankrah
10
Reginaldo Ramires
18
Salah-Eddine Oulad
7
Raki Aouani

Substitutes

FO
Frenks Orols
#91 · SUB
CS
Coli Saco
#6 · SUB
MB
Muhammed Badamosi
#19 · SUB
AC
Antonijs Cernomordijs
#34 · SUB
CM
Caio Martins
#11 · SUB
MK
Marcis Kazainis
#44 · SUB
SP
Samuel Pedro
#15 · SUB
AT
Abdulrahman Taiwo
#25 · SUB
Jablonec

Jablonec

3-5-2
99
Klemen Mihelak
20
Jiri Sláma
15
Dusan Pavlovic
18
Martin Cedidla
7
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
21
Matej Polidar
24
Dominik Holly
25
Sebastian Nebyla
13
Richard Sedlacek
17
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
9
Antonin Rusek

Substitutes

JC
Jan Chramosta
#19 · SUB
NO
Nelson Okeke
#6 · SUB
FZ
Filip Zorvan
#8 · SUB
GK
Garang Kuol
#36 · SUB
LJ
Lamin Jawo
#44 · SUB
JS
Jan Suchan
#10 · SUB
DN
David Nykrin
#12 · SUB
MK
Michal Kukucka
#33 · SUB
FN
Filip Novak
#57 · SUB
VR
Vojtěch Reiner
#40 · SUB
DS
Daniel Soucek
#14 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.