Conference League
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atalanta v Kairat Almaty in the Conference League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Atalanta, with a 58% chance of winning. It expects 2.2 goals from Atalanta and 1.2 from Kairat Almaty: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 62%). Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Model favourite: Atalanta (58%)
Small sample · 6/5 matches- 1 · Atalanta
- 58%
- X · Draw
- 21%
- 2 · Kairat Almaty
- 21%
Expected goals
Atalanta 2.17 · Kairat Almaty 1.24
Most likely scores
2-1 (10%) · 1-1 (9%) · 2-0 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atalanta to score | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Atalanta or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Atalanta (draw no bet) | 74% |
| Kairat Almaty to score | 66% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atalanta wins and over 2.5 | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 2-1 | 10% |
Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Atalanta come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15.
- Kairat Almaty come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 13.
- At home, Atalanta have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Kairat Almaty have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Atalanta's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Kairat Almaty's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Atalanta
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
11-15
Goals
- L2 NovAtalanta0-3Parma
- D29 OctFiorentina2-2Atalanta
- D25 OctAtalanta4-4Frosinone
- L22 OctAjax Amsterdam2-0Atalanta
- L18 OctAC Milan3-2Atalanta
- W15 OctAtalanta3-1Pafos
Kairat Almaty
Last 5 matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
2-13
Goals
- L22 OctKairat Almaty1-5Panathinaikos
- D15 OctRiga FC1-1Kairat Almaty
- L27 AugAnderlecht3-0Kairat Almaty
- L20 AugKairat Almaty0-3Anderlecht
- L11 AugKairat Almaty0-1Levski Sofia
Line-ups
Atalanta
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Kairat Almaty
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.