Primeira Liga
Estoril vs Maritimo: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Estoril v Maritimo in the Primeira Liga.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Estoril vs Maritimo prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Estoril have a slight edge (39% against 33%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.3 goals from Estoril and 1.2 from Maritimo: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Estoril (39%)
Medium sample · 10/10 matches- 1 · Estoril
- 39%
- X · Draw
- 28%
- 2 · Maritimo
- 33%
Expected goals
Estoril 1.33 · Maritimo 1.22
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-1 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% |
| Estoril to score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Estoril or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Maritimo to score | 66% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 39% |
| Estoril (draw no bet) | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 10 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Estoril come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13.
- Maritimo come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 14.
- At home, Estoril have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Maritimo have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- In Estoril's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Maritimo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, Estoril are 18th and Maritimo 14th (2 and 8 points). Maritimo sit 4 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Estoril
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
4-13
Goals
- L31 OctFC Porto4-0Estoril
- L25 OctEstoril1-3Moreirense
- W18 OctSalgueiros1-1Estoril
- L10 OctAcadémico de Viseu2-1Estoril
- L20 SeptEstoril1-2Casa Pia
- L14 SeptBraga1-0Estoril
Maritimo
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
5-14
Goals
- L1 NovMaritimo0-2Santa Clara
- L23 OctVitória de Guimaraes5-0Maritimo
- W18 OctAlcochetense1-2Maritimo
- L10 OctMaritimo1-2FC Porto
- D19 SeptGil Vicente1-1Maritimo
- L14 SeptMoreirense3-1Maritimo
Standings
Estoril
18º
Pos.
2
Pts
10
P
Maritimo
14º
Pos.
8
Pts
10
P
Line-ups
Estoril
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Maritimo
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.