Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 16:30Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Arouca vs C.D. Nacional: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Arouca v C.D. Nacional in the Primeira Liga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Arouca vs C.D. Nacional prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Arouca (58%)

Medium sample · 9/9 matches
1 · Arouca
58%
X · Draw
24%
2 · C.D. Nacional
18%

Expected goals

Arouca 1.80 · C.D. Nacional 0.90

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 9 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Arouca went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
  • C.D. Nacional went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13.
  • At home, Arouca have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, C.D. Nacional have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Arouca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In C.D. Nacional's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In the table, Arouca are 5th and C.D. Nacional 15th (17 and 7 points). Arouca sit 10 places higher.
  • Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 2 wins for Arouca, 0 for C.D. Nacional and 0 draws, with 3.0 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Arouca

Arouca

Last 6 matches

DLDWWW

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

9-7

Goals

  • W24 OctAlverca0-1Arouca
  • W18 OctOs Belenenses3-4Arouca
  • W11 OctArouca1-0Estrela
  • D19 SeptSporting CP2-2Arouca
  • L13 SeptArouca1-2Santa Clara
  • D7 SeptEstoril0-0Arouca
C.D. Nacional

C.D. Nacional

Last 6 matches

LLLLLW

1

Wins

0

Draws

5

Losses

4-13

Goals

  • W25 OctC.D. Nacional1-0Braga
  • L17 OctSanjoanense1-0C.D. Nacional
  • L11 OctRio Ave3-2C.D. Nacional
  • L19 SeptC.D. Nacional0-4FC Famalicao
  • L12 SeptC.D. Nacional1-3Alverca
  • L5 SeptSporting CP2-0C.D. Nacional

Standings

Arouca

Arouca

5º

Pos.

17

Pts

9

P

C.D. Nacional

C.D. Nacional

15º

Pos.

7

Pts

9

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Arouca

Arouca

4-2-3-1
12
Ignacio De Arruabarrena
28
Tiago Esgaio
18
Orest Lebedenko
15
Javi Sánchez
3
José Fontán
21
Mateo Flores
19
Alfonso Trezza
6
Espen Van Ee
8
Taichi Fukui
7
Näis Djouahra
17
Ivan Martínez

Substitutes

BP
Boris Popovic
#5 · SUB
JV
Jakub Vinarcik
#1 · SUB
MB
Mamadu Balde
#27 · SUB
SP
Si-Hoo Park
#77 · SUB
DN
Dylan Nandín
#23 · SUB
MC
Mario Climent
#37 · SUB
LS
Leo Shahar
#2 · SUB
FM
Fally Mayulu
#9 · SUB
LH
Lee Hyun-Ju
#14 · SUB
DM
Diogo Monteiro
#4 · SUB
PG
Pablo Gozálbez
#10 · SUB
BM
Brian Mansilla
#24 · SUB
C.D. Nacional

C.D. Nacional

4-3-3
1
Renato Marin
7
Markus Jensen
21
William Kokolo
33
Francisco Gonçalves
38
Zé Vitor
6
Matheus Dias
8
Miguel Baeza
15
Chiheb Labidi
29
Njoya Kader
11
Stavros Gavriel
12
Song Min-Kyu

Substitutes

JG
José Gomes
#5 · SUB
PR
Pablo Ruan
#99 · SUB
MD
Matchoi Djoló
#20 · SUB
JG
João Gonçalves
#13 · SUB
DD
Danel Dongmo
#31 · SUB
AO
Allen Obando
#9 · SUB
D
Deivison
#88 · SUB
IF
Ivanildo Fernandes
#14 · SUB
DJ
Daniel Júnior
#10 · SUB

Head-to-head

FC Arouca

3 - 0

21 Feb

CD Nacional

CD Nacional

1 - 2

20 Sept

FC Arouca

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.