Primeira Liga
Arouca vs C.D. Nacional: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Arouca v C.D. Nacional in the Primeira Liga.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Arouca vs C.D. Nacional prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: Arouca (58%)
Medium sample · 9/9 matches- 1 · Arouca
- 58%
- X · Draw
- 24%
- 2 · C.D. Nacional
- 18%
Expected goals
Arouca 1.80 · C.D. Nacional 0.90
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-0 (11%)
Based on goals from each team's last 9 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Arouca went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
- C.D. Nacional went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13.
- At home, Arouca have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, C.D. Nacional have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Arouca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In C.D. Nacional's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
- In the table, Arouca are 5th and C.D. Nacional 15th (17 and 7 points). Arouca sit 10 places higher.
- Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 2 wins for Arouca, 0 for C.D. Nacional and 0 draws, with 3.0 goals per match.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Arouca
Last 6 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
9-7
Goals
- W24 OctAlverca0-1Arouca
- W18 OctOs Belenenses3-4Arouca
- W11 OctArouca1-0Estrela
- D19 SeptSporting CP2-2Arouca
- L13 SeptArouca1-2Santa Clara
- D7 SeptEstoril0-0Arouca

C.D. Nacional
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
4-13
Goals
- W25 OctC.D. Nacional1-0Braga
- L17 OctSanjoanense1-0C.D. Nacional
- L11 OctRio Ave3-2C.D. Nacional
- L19 SeptC.D. Nacional0-4FC Famalicao
- L12 SeptC.D. Nacional1-3Alverca
- L5 SeptSporting CP2-0C.D. Nacional
Standings
Arouca
5º
Pos.
17
Pts
9
P
C.D. Nacional
15º
Pos.
7
Pts
9
P
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

Arouca
Substitutes

C.D. Nacional
Substitutes
Head-to-head
FC Arouca
3 - 0
21 Feb
CD Nacional
CD Nacional
1 - 2
20 Sept
FC Arouca
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.