Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 15:30Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig vs Hamburg SV: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on RB Leipzig v Hamburg SV in the Bundesliga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

RB Leipzig vs Hamburg SV prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: RB Leipzig (54%)

Small sample · 6/5 matches
1 · RB Leipzig
54%
X · Draw
22%
2 · Hamburg SV
24%

Expected goals

RB Leipzig 2.08 · Hamburg SV 1.35

Most likely scores

1-1 (10%) · 2-1 (9%) · 2-0 (7%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • RB Leipzig went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14.
  • Hamburg SV went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9.
  • Away from home, Hamburg SV have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In RB Leipzig's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Hamburg SV's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Last 6 matches

LLWWLL

2

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

13-14

Goals

  • L10 SeptComo4-1RB Leipzig
  • L5 SeptWerder Bremen3-1RB Leipzig
  • W29 AugRB Leipzig3-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • W22 AugEintracht Trier0-6RB Leipzig
  • L15 AugBayern Munich3-1RB Leipzig
  • L16 MaySC Freiburg4-1RB Leipzig
Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

Last 5 matches

LWWLL

2

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

5-9

Goals

  • L6 SeptHamburg SV0-5Mainz
  • L29 AugBorussia Dortmund2-0Hamburg SV
  • W24 AugSC Verl 19240-3Hamburg SV
  • W15 AugToulouse1-2Hamburg SV
  • L8 AugHamburg SV0-1Lille

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
26
Maarten Vandevoordt
39
Benjamin Henrichs
22
David Raum
4
Willi Orbán
23
Castello Lukeba
21
Neil El Aynaoui
6
Ezechiel Banzuzi
8
Assan Ouédraogo
27
Tidiam Gomis
10
Brajan Gruda
7
Antonio Nusa

Substitutes

RB
Ridle Baku
#17 · SUB
NS
Nicolas Seiwald
#13 · SUB
CN
Christopher Nkunku
#28 · SUB
MF
Max Finkgrafe
#35 · SUB
ØN
Ørjan Nyland
#1 · SUB
AM
Andrija Maksimovic
#30 · SUB
MG
Marc Guiu
#9 · SUB
R
Rômulo
#40 · SUB
ME
Maxime Estève
#3 · SUB
Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

3-4-2-1
1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
24
Nicolás Capaldo
23
Jordan Torunarigha
43
Shafiq Nandja
7
Zakaria El Ouahdi
3
David Møller Wolfe
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga
21
Nicolai Remberg
15
Yussuf Poulsen
27
Patson Daka
11
Albert Grønbaek

Substitutes

FV
Fabio Vieira
#20 · SUB
LL
Louis Lemke
#37 · SUB
ST
Sander Tangvik
#12 · SUB
BJ
Bakery Jatta
#18 · SUB
WO
Warmed Omari
#17 · SUB
OS
Otto Stange
#19 · SUB
BN
Bilal Nadir
#4 · SUB
TM
Terem Moffi
#9 · SUB
MA
Martin Adeline
#5 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.