Bundesliga

Bundesliga

0-5

Full-time
Sunday, 6 September 2026 at 15:30Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Norderstedt

Hamburg SV vs Mainz: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Hamburg SV v Mainz in the Bundesliga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Hamburg SV vs Mainz prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Mainz (44%)

Small sample · 5/6 matches
1 · Hamburg SV
30%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Mainz
44%

Expected goals

Hamburg SV 1.28 · Mainz 1.57

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (9%) · 0-1 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Hamburg SV went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
  • Mainz went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 4.
  • Away from home, Mainz have won 2 of their last 2 matches (5.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
  • In Hamburg SV's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Mainz's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

Last 5 matches

DLWWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

6-5

Goals

  • L29 AugBorussia Dortmund2-0Hamburg SV
  • W24 AugSC Verl 19240-3Hamburg SV
  • W15 AugToulouse1-2Hamburg SV
  • L8 AugHamburg SV0-1Lille
  • D16 MayBayer Leverkusen1-1Hamburg SV
Mainz

Mainz

Last 6 matches

LWWWWD

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

18-4

Goals

  • D29 AugMainz0-0SC Paderborn 07
  • W23 AugVFB Krieschow0-9Mainz
  • W15 AugMainz2-1AFC Bournemouth
  • W8 AugMainz4-0Paris FC
  • W16 May1. FC Heidenheim 18460-2Mainz
  • L10 May1. FSV Mainz 051-31. FC Union Berlin

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

3-4-2-1
1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
23
Jordan Torunarigha
33
Sebastiaan Bornauw
24
Nicolás Capaldo
7
Zakaria El Ouahdi
3
David Møller Wolfe
4
Bilal Nadir
21
Nicolai Remberg
9
Terem Moffi
5
Martin Adeline
11
Albert Grønbaek

Substitutes

SN
Shafiq Nandja
#43 · SUB
OS
Otto Stange
#19 · SUB
FV
Fabio Vieira
#20 · SUB
KA
Kofi Amoako
#22 · SUB
BJ
Bakery Jatta
#18 · SUB
YP
Yussuf Poulsen
#15 · SUB
LL
Louis Lemke
#37 · SUB
PD
Patson Daka
#27 · SUB
ST
Sander Tangvik
#12 · SUB
Mainz

Mainz

3-5-2
1
Alexander Schwolow
48
Kacper Potulski
3
Fabio Gruber
4
Stefan Posch
19
Anthony Caci
2
Phillipp Mwene
10
Nadiem Amiri
7
Lee Jae-Sung
6
Kaishu Sano
9
Phillip Tietz
23
Sheraldo Becker

Substitutes

SK
Sota Kawasaki
#24 · SUB
RK
Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
#11 · SUB
DD
Danny da Costa
#21 · SUB
RN
Rael-Tshimbela Nakuzola
#47 · SUB
MK
Maximilian Kinzig
#40 · SUB
LM
Lennard Maloney
#15 · SUB
OR
Otto Ruoppi
#20 · SUB
BH
Benedict Hollerbach
#17 · SUB
SB
Stefan Bell
#16 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.